UDR Inc (UDR)
UDR Inc. is a publicly traded real estate investment trust that invests in apartments. The company is organized in Maryland with its headquarters in Highlands Ranch, Colorado.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 7.19% per annum.
- UDR price at the close of March 26, 2026 was $34.07 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $2.68 (7.29%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 13.95% per annum.
- UDR price at the close of March 26, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of UDR price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 20, 2022
End date: July 31, 2025
a = 3.4049
b = 0.0002
s = 0.0739
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0002) – 1
= 7.19%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0739) – 1
= 34.37%
September 20, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y373)
= Exp(a + b × X373 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 540 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4049 + 0.0002 × 540 + 2 × 0.0739)
= Exp(3.6554)
= $38.68
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y373)
= Exp(a + b × X373 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 540 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4049 + 0.0002 × 540 – 2 × 0.0739)
= Exp(3.3600)
= $28.79
July 31, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,090)
= Exp(a + b × X1,090 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,585 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4049 + 0.0002 × 1,585 + 2 × 0.0739)
= Exp(3.8543)
= $47.20
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,090)
= Exp(a + b × X1,090 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,585 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4049 + 0.0002 × 1,585 – 2 × 0.0739)
= Exp(3.5588)
= $35.12
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 7.19% per annum.
- UDR price at the close of March 26, 2026 was $34.07 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $2.68 (7.29%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: August 27, 2024
End date: January 15, 2026
a = 4.2859
b = -0.0004
s = 0.0352
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0004) – 1
= -13.95%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0352) – 1
= 15.11%
August 27, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y859)
= Exp(a + b × X859 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,247 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2859 + -0.0004 × 1,247 + 2 × 0.0352)
= Exp(3.8431)
= $46.67
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y859)
= Exp(a + b × X859 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,247 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2859 + -0.0004 × 1,247 – 2 × 0.0352)
= Exp(3.7023)
= $40.54
January 15, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,206)
= Exp(a + b × X1,206 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,753 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2859 + -0.0004 × 1,753 + 2 × 0.0352)
= Exp(3.6349)
= $37.90
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,206)
= Exp(a + b × X1,206 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,753 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2859 + -0.0004 × 1,753 – 2 × 0.0352)
= Exp(3.4941)
= $32.92
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 13.95% per annum.
- UDR price at the close of March 26, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.