Stock Price Trends

JetBlue Airways Corp (JBLU)

JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU) is a major American airline that offers low-cost, high-quality air travel services primarily focused on domestic and Caribbean routes. Headquartered in Long Island City, New York, JetBlue is known for its customer-centric approach, featuring amenities such as in-flight entertainment and complimentary snacks and beverages. As a leader in the aviation industry, the company aims to provide a seamless travel experience while maintaining competitive pricing, making it a compelling choice for both leisure and business travelers. With a strong focus on operational efficiency and sustainability initiatives, JetBlue is well-positioned for continued growth and profitability in the evolving air transportation market.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 14.02% per annum.
  • JBLU price at the close of January 21, 2026 was $5.52 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 163.39% per annum.
  • JBLU price at the close of January 21, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of JBLU price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: June 13, 2022
End date: January 21, 2026

a = 2.2840

b = -0.0004

s = 0.1684

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0004) – 1
= -14.02%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1684) – 1
= 96.12%

June 13, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y350)
= Exp(a + b × X350 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 507 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2840 + -0.0004 × 507 + 2 × 0.1684)
= Exp(2.4109)
= $11.14

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y350)
= Exp(a + b × X350 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 507 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2840 + -0.0004 × 507 – 2 × 0.1684)
= Exp(1.7374)
= $5.68

January 21, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2840 + -0.0004 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.1684)
= Exp(1.8653)
= $6.46

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2840 + -0.0004 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.1684)
= Exp(1.1918)
= $3.29

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 14.02% per annum.
  • JBLU price at the close of January 21, 2026 was $5.52 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: October 28, 2025
End date: January 21, 2026

a = -3.1989

b = 0.0027

s = 0.0421

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0027) – 1
= 163.39%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0421) – 1
= 18.36%

October 28, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,197)
= Exp(a + b × X1,197 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,740 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.1989 + 0.0027 × 1,740 + 2 × 0.0421)
= Exp(1.5022)
= $4.49

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,197)
= Exp(a + b × X1,197 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,740 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.1989 + 0.0027 × 1,740 – 2 × 0.0421)
= Exp(1.3336)
= $3.79

January 21, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.1989 + 0.0027 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0421)
= Exp(1.7277)
= $5.63

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.1989 + 0.0027 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0421)
= Exp(1.5591)
= $4.75

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 163.39% per annum.
  • JBLU price at the close of January 21, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.