One Gas Inc (OGS)
ONE Gas, Inc. is a leading regulated natural gas distribution company headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma, servicing over two million customers across Oklahoma, Kansas, and Texas. With a robust infrastructure and a commitment to maintaining reliable and safe energy delivery, ONE Gas focuses on sustainability and innovation in the energy sector. The company strategically plans for growth while navigating regulatory environments, positioning itself for long-term stability and value creation for its shareholders. As part of its initiatives, ONE Gas is dedicated to enhancing safety measures and investing in modern technologies to support the transition to cleaner energy solutions.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 19.39% per annum.
- OGS price at the close of December 26, 2025 was $77.66 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 12.90% per annum.
- OGS price at the close of December 26, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of OGS price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: October 25, 2023
End date: December 26, 2025
a = 3.5145
b = 0.0005
s = 0.0411
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0005) – 1
= 19.39%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0411) – 1
= 17.87%
October 25, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y710)
= Exp(a + b × X710 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,030 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5145 + 0.0005 × 1,030 + 2 × 0.0411)
= Exp(4.0969)
= $60.16
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y710)
= Exp(a + b × X710 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,030 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5145 + 0.0005 × 1,030 – 2 × 0.0411)
= Exp(3.9325)
= $51.04
December 26, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5145 + 0.0005 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0411)
= Exp(4.4821)
= $88.42
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5145 + 0.0005 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0411)
= Exp(4.3176)
= $75.01
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 19.39% per annum.
- OGS price at the close of December 26, 2025 was $77.66 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: August 30, 2024
End date: December 26, 2025
a = 3.7654
b = 0.0003
s = 0.0363
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0003) – 1
= 12.90%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0363) – 1
= 15.62%
August 30, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y923)
= Exp(a + b × X923 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,340 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7654 + 0.0003 × 1,340 + 2 × 0.0363)
= Exp(4.2835)
= $72.49
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y923)
= Exp(a + b × X923 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,340 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7654 + 0.0003 × 1,340 – 2 × 0.0363)
= Exp(4.1383)
= $62.70
December 26, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7654 + 0.0003 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0363)
= Exp(4.4441)
= $85.12
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7654 + 0.0003 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0363)
= Exp(4.2989)
= $73.62
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 12.90% per annum.
- OGS price at the close of December 26, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.