Stock Price Trends

National Fuel Gas Company (NFG)

america’s energy outlook is more promising than ever. natural gas produced from shale is transforming the energy landscape for the better, driving economic prosperity, reducing utility bills for consumers and helping america to achieve the goal of energy independence. shale gas is also shaping the future of national fuel gas company. through our program to develop the marcellus shale, we are in the midst of a transformation that will drive our growth and produce lasting benefits for national fuel shareholders, employees and the communities that we serve. national fuel gas company is an integrated, diversified energy company with more than 1,800 employees in four operating divisions: exploration and production, pipeline and storage, utility, and energy marketing. national fuel is a leader in practicing the highest standards of responsibility in all aspects of our business. we are committed to providing safe and reliable natural gas delivery, excellent customer service, and responsible e

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Paying users area

The data is hidden behind and trends are not shown in the charts.
Unhide data and trends.

Get full access to the entire website.

This is a one-time payment. There is no automatic renewal.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 20.51% per annum.
  • NFG price at the close of February 16, 2024 was $48.00 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 8.82% per annum.
  • NFG price at the close of February 16, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of NFG price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date:
End date:

a =

b =

s =

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × ) – 1
=

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × ) – 1
=

March 25, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

February 16, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 20.51% per annum.
  • NFG price at the close of February 16, 2024 was $48.00 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date:
End date:

a =

b =

s =

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × ) – 1
=

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × ) – 1
=

May 2, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

February 16, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 8.82% per annum.
  • NFG price at the close of February 16, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.