Stock Price Trends

World Acceptance Corporation (WRLD)

World Acceptance Corporation (WRLD) operates in the small loan consumer finance sector, providing a range of financial products and services primarily targeting underserved consumers in the U.S. and Mexico. Headquartered in Greenville, South Carolina, the company specializes in offering personal loans and related products through its extensive network of branch locations. With a focus on responsible lending practices, World Acceptance aims to meet the evolving financial needs of its customers while maintaining regulatory compliance and sound credit risk management. The company's strategic position within the consumer finance industry allows it to capitalize on growth opportunities in an underserved market.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 19.78% per annum.
  • WRLD price at the close of December 12, 2025 was $148.44 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 9.02% per annum.
  • WRLD price at the close of December 12, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of WRLD price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: September 22, 2022
End date: December 12, 2025

a = 4.1856

b = 0.0005

s = 0.1564

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0005) – 1
= 19.78%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1564) – 1
= 86.96%

September 22, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y446)
= Exp(a + b × X446 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 647 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1856 + 0.0005 × 647 + 2 × 0.1564)
= Exp(4.8184)
= $123.77

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y446)
= Exp(a + b × X446 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 647 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1856 + 0.0005 × 647 – 2 × 0.1564)
= Exp(4.1927)
= $66.20

December 12, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1856 + 0.0005 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.1564)
= Exp(5.4005)
= $221.53

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1856 + 0.0005 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.1564)
= Exp(4.7748)
= $118.49

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 19.78% per annum.
  • WRLD price at the close of December 12, 2025 was $148.44 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: May 18, 2023
End date: December 12, 2025

a = 4.5677

b = 0.0002

s = 0.1192

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0002) – 1
= 9.02%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1192) – 1
= 61.09%

May 18, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y610)
= Exp(a + b × X610 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 885 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.5677 + 0.0002 × 885 + 2 × 0.1192)
= Exp(5.0155)
= $150.73

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y610)
= Exp(a + b × X610 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 885 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.5677 + 0.0002 × 885 – 2 × 0.1192)
= Exp(4.5387)
= $93.57

December 12, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.5677 + 0.0002 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.1192)
= Exp(5.2377)
= $188.23

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.5677 + 0.0002 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.1192)
= Exp(4.7609)
= $116.85

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 9.02% per annum.
  • WRLD price at the close of December 12, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.