American Assets Trust Inc (AAT)
American Assets Trust, Inc. (AAT) is a San Diego-based, self-managed real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on the acquisition, development, and management of high-quality commercial and residential properties. With a diversified portfolio including retail, office, and multifamily properties, the company leverages its integrated business model to drive value creation and operational efficiencies. AAT is committed to sustainability and enhancing community engagement, positioning itself as a leader in the real estate sector while delivering steady returns for its investors.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 32.07% per annum.
- AAT price at the close of December 5, 2025 was $18.73 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $9.39 (33.39%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 21.58% per annum.
- AAT price at the close of December 5, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of AAT price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: March 8, 2023
End date: January 21, 2025
a = 2.0856
b = 0.0008
s = 0.0697
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0008) – 1
= 32.07%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0697) – 1
= 32.13%
March 8, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y565)
= Exp(a + b × X565 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 821 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.0856 + 0.0008 × 821 + 2 × 0.0697)
= Exp(2.8506)
= $17.30
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y565)
= Exp(a + b × X565 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 821 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.0856 + 0.0008 × 821 – 2 × 0.0697)
= Exp(2.5720)
= $13.09
January 21, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,034)
= Exp(a + b × X1,034 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,506 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.0856 + 0.0008 × 1,506 + 2 × 0.0697)
= Exp(3.3727)
= $29.16
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,034)
= Exp(a + b × X1,034 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,506 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.0856 + 0.0008 × 1,506 – 2 × 0.0697)
= Exp(3.0941)
= $22.07
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 32.07% per annum.
- AAT price at the close of December 5, 2025 was $18.73 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $9.39 (33.39%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: July 22, 2024
End date: December 5, 2025
a = 4.0980
b = -0.0007
s = 0.0775
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0007) – 1
= -21.58%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0775) – 1
= 36.36%
July 22, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y909)
= Exp(a + b × X909 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,323 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0980 + -0.0007 × 1,323 + 2 × 0.0775)
= Exp(3.3720)
= $29.14
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y909)
= Exp(a + b × X909 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,323 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0980 + -0.0007 × 1,323 – 2 × 0.0775)
= Exp(3.0618)
= $21.37
December 5, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0980 + -0.0007 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0775)
= Exp(3.0383)
= $20.87
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0980 + -0.0007 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0775)
= Exp(2.7281)
= $15.30
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 21.58% per annum.
- AAT price at the close of December 5, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.