Stock Price Trends

LXP Industrial Trust (LXP)

None

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 47.56% per annum.
  • LXP price at the close of December 19, 2025 was $50.67 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 171.85% per annum.
  • LXP price at the close of December 19, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of LXP price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: April 4, 2025
End date: December 19, 2025

a = 1.9547

b = 0.0011

s = 0.0344

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0011) – 1
= 47.56%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0344) – 1
= 14.76%

April 4, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,075)
= Exp(a + b × X1,075 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,564 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9547 + 0.0011 × 1,564 + 2 × 0.0344)
= Exp(3.6906)
= $40.07

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,075)
= Exp(a + b × X1,075 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,564 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9547 + 0.0011 × 1,564 – 2 × 0.0344)
= Exp(3.5529)
= $34.92

December 19, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9547 + 0.0011 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0344)
= Exp(3.9667)
= $52.81

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9547 + 0.0011 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0344)
= Exp(3.8290)
= $46.02

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 47.56% per annum.
  • LXP price at the close of December 19, 2025 was $50.67 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: November 12, 2025
End date: December 19, 2025

a = -1.0702

b = 0.0027

s = 0.0104

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0027) – 1
= 171.85%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0104) – 1
= 4.24%

November 12, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,228)
= Exp(a + b × X1,228 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,786 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.0702 + 0.0027 × 1,786 + 2 × 0.0104)
= Exp(3.8441)
= $46.72

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,228)
= Exp(a + b × X1,228 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,786 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.0702 + 0.0027 × 1,786 – 2 × 0.0104)
= Exp(3.8026)
= $44.82

December 19, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.0702 + 0.0027 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0104)
= Exp(3.9455)
= $51.70

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.0702 + 0.0027 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0104)
= Exp(3.9040)
= $49.60

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 171.85% per annum.
  • LXP price at the close of December 19, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.