Global Net Lease, Inc. (GNL)
None
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 14.61% per annum.
- GNL price at the close of December 5, 2025 was $8.11 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 37.90% per annum.
- GNL price at the close of December 5, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of GNL price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: February 5, 2024
End date: December 5, 2025
a = 1.3787
b = 0.0004
s = 0.0632
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0004) – 1
= 14.61%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0632) – 1
= 28.74%
February 5, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y793)
= Exp(a + b × X793 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,154 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3787 + 0.0004 × 1,154 + 2 × 0.0632)
= Exp(1.9362)
= $6.93
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y793)
= Exp(a + b × X793 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,154 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3787 + 0.0004 × 1,154 – 2 × 0.0632)
= Exp(1.6836)
= $5.39
December 5, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3787 + 0.0004 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0632)
= Exp(2.1862)
= $8.90
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3787 + 0.0004 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0632)
= Exp(1.9336)
= $6.91
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 14.61% per annum.
- GNL price at the close of December 5, 2025 was $8.11 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: June 12, 2025
End date: December 5, 2025
a = 0.4919
b = 0.0009
s = 0.0324
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0009) – 1
= 37.90%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0324) – 1
= 13.85%
June 12, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,132)
= Exp(a + b × X1,132 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,647 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.4919 + 0.0009 × 1,647 + 2 × 0.0324)
= Exp(2.0070)
= $7.44
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,132)
= Exp(a + b × X1,132 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,647 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.4919 + 0.0009 × 1,647 – 2 × 0.0324)
= Exp(1.8772)
= $6.54
December 5, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.4919 + 0.0009 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0324)
= Exp(2.1620)
= $8.69
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.4919 + 0.0009 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0324)
= Exp(2.0322)
= $7.63
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 37.90% per annum.
- GNL price at the close of December 5, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.