ADEIA CORP (ADEA)
Adeia Corp is a prominent global licensing company specializing in consumer and entertainment products and solutions. Headquartered in San Jose, California, Adeia harnesses innovative technologies to enhance user experiences across multiple platforms. With a focus on intellectual property and product licensing, the company partners with a diverse range of industries, aiming to drive growth and value creation through its extensive portfolio. Adeia’s commitment to innovation positions it as a leader in the ever-evolving entertainment landscape.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 18.38% per annum.
- ADEA price at the close of March 6, 2026 was $19.87 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.95 (5.01%).
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1,932.75% per annum.
- ADEA price at the close of March 6, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $4.63 (18.88%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ADEA price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: October 4, 2022
End date: December 19, 2025
a = 1.8816
b = 0.0005
s = 0.1078
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0005) – 1
= 18.38%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1078) – 1
= 53.91%
October 4, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y398)
= Exp(a + b × X398 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 575 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8816 + 0.0005 × 575 + 2 × 0.1078)
= Exp(2.3630)
= $10.62
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y398)
= Exp(a + b × X398 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 575 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8816 + 0.0005 × 575 – 2 × 0.1078)
= Exp(1.9318)
= $6.90
December 19, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,204)
= Exp(a + b × X1,204 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,747 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8816 + 0.0005 × 1,747 + 2 × 0.1078)
= Exp(2.9047)
= $18.26
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,204)
= Exp(a + b × X1,204 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,747 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8816 + 0.0005 × 1,747 – 2 × 0.1078)
= Exp(2.4735)
= $11.86
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 18.38% per annum.
- ADEA price at the close of March 6, 2026 was $19.87 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.95 (5.01%).
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 13, 2025
End date: January 26, 2026
a = -11.7092
b = 0.0083
s = 0.0720
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0083) – 1
= 1,932.75%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0720) – 1
= 33.36%
November 13, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,179)
= Exp(a + b × X1,179 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,711 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-11.7092 + 0.0083 × 1,711 + 2 × 0.0720)
= Exp(2.5539)
= $12.86
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,179)
= Exp(a + b × X1,179 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,711 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-11.7092 + 0.0083 × 1,711 – 2 × 0.0720)
= Exp(2.2660)
= $9.64
January 26, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,227)
= Exp(a + b × X1,227 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,785 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-11.7092 + 0.0083 × 1,785 + 2 × 0.0720)
= Exp(3.1645)
= $23.68
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,227)
= Exp(a + b × X1,227 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,785 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-11.7092 + 0.0083 × 1,785 – 2 × 0.0720)
= Exp(2.8767)
= $17.76
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1,932.75% per annum.
- ADEA price at the close of March 6, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $4.63 (18.88%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.