Stock Price Trends

NCR Voyix Corporation (VYX)

NCR Corporation provides various software and services in the United States, Americas, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 80.72% per annum.
  • VYX price at the close of April 29, 2025 was $8.60 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 88.90% per annum.
  • VYX price at the close of April 29, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of VYX price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: December 9, 2024
End date: April 29, 2025

a = 10.3397

b = -0.0045

s = 0.0515

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0045) – 1
= -80.72%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0515) – 1
= 22.85%

December 9, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,160)
= Exp(a + b × X1,160 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,684 + 2 × s)
= Exp(10.3397 + -0.0045 × 1,684 + 2 × 0.0515)
= Exp(2.8478)
= $17.25

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,160)
= Exp(a + b × X1,160 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,684 – 2 × s)
= Exp(10.3397 + -0.0045 × 1,684 – 2 × 0.0515)
= Exp(2.6420)
= $14.04

April 29, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(10.3397 + -0.0045 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0515)
= Exp(2.2119)
= $9.13

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(10.3397 + -0.0045 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0515)
= Exp(2.0061)
= $7.43

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 80.72% per annum.
  • VYX price at the close of April 29, 2025 was $8.60 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: February 5, 2025
End date: April 29, 2025

a = 13.0466

b = -0.0060

s = 0.0496

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0060) – 1
= -88.90%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0496) – 1
= 21.97%

February 5, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,198)
= Exp(a + b × X1,198 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,742 + 2 × s)
= Exp(13.0466 + -0.0060 × 1,742 + 2 × 0.0496)
= Exp(2.6549)
= $14.22

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,198)
= Exp(a + b × X1,198 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,742 – 2 × s)
= Exp(13.0466 + -0.0060 × 1,742 – 2 × 0.0496)
= Exp(2.4563)
= $11.66

April 29, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(13.0466 + -0.0060 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0496)
= Exp(2.1550)
= $8.63

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(13.0466 + -0.0060 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0496)
= Exp(1.9564)
= $7.07

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 88.90% per annum.
  • VYX price at the close of April 29, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.