Stock Price Trends

Teradata Corp (TDC)

Teradata Corporation (TDC) is a leading provider of hybrid cloud analytics and data platform solutions, enabling organizations to harness the power of their data for strategic decision-making and enhanced performance. Headquartered in San Diego, California, Teradata delivers comprehensive analytics services that integrate advanced data management, analytics, and business intelligence capabilities. The company's innovative approach empowers businesses across various industries to drive data-driven transformations, ensuring they remain competitive in an increasingly digital landscape. With a strong emphasis on customer collaboration and operational excellence, Teradata positions itself as a key partner for enterprises looking to capitalize on their data assets.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 34.03% per annum.
  • TDC price at the close of November 7, 2025 was $27.60 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $4.53 (19.66%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 7.68% per annum.
  • TDC price at the close of November 7, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $4.66 (20.30%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of TDC price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: May 30, 2023
End date: November 4, 2025

a = 5.0401

b = -0.0011

s = 0.0886

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0011) – 1
= -34.03%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0886) – 1
= 42.51%

May 30, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y641)
= Exp(a + b × X641 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 932 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0401 + -0.0011 × 932 + 2 × 0.0886)
= Exp(4.1550)
= $63.75

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y641)
= Exp(a + b × X641 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 932 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0401 + -0.0011 × 932 – 2 × 0.0886)
= Exp(3.8008)
= $44.74

November 4, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,252)
= Exp(a + b × X1,252 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,821 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0401 + -0.0011 × 1,821 + 2 × 0.0886)
= Exp(3.1418)
= $23.15

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,252)
= Exp(a + b × X1,252 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,821 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0401 + -0.0011 × 1,821 – 2 × 0.0886)
= Exp(2.7876)
= $16.24

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 34.03% per annum.
  • TDC price at the close of November 7, 2025 was $27.60 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $4.53 (19.66%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: March 3, 2025
End date: November 4, 2025

a = 3.4512

b = -0.0002

s = 0.0405

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0002) – 1
= -7.68%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0405) – 1
= 17.57%

March 3, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,081)
= Exp(a + b × X1,081 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,575 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4512 + -0.0002 × 1,575 + 2 × 0.0405)
= Exp(3.1875)
= $24.23

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,081)
= Exp(a + b × X1,081 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,575 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4512 + -0.0002 × 1,575 – 2 × 0.0405)
= Exp(3.0256)
= $20.61

November 4, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,252)
= Exp(a + b × X1,252 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,821 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4512 + -0.0002 × 1,821 + 2 × 0.0405)
= Exp(3.1336)
= $22.96

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,252)
= Exp(a + b × X1,252 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,821 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4512 + -0.0002 × 1,821 – 2 × 0.0405)
= Exp(2.9718)
= $19.53

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 7.68% per annum.
  • TDC price at the close of November 7, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $4.66 (20.30%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.