Stock Price Trends

Teradata Corp (TDC)

Teradata Corporation (TDC) is a leading provider of hybrid cloud analytics and data platform solutions, enabling organizations to harness the power of their data for strategic decision-making and enhanced performance. Headquartered in San Diego, California, Teradata delivers comprehensive analytics services that integrate advanced data management, analytics, and business intelligence capabilities. The company's innovative approach empowers businesses across various industries to drive data-driven transformations, ensuring they remain competitive in an increasingly digital landscape. With a strong emphasis on customer collaboration and operational excellence, Teradata positions itself as a key partner for enterprises looking to capitalize on their data assets.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 188.68% per annum.
  • TDC price at the close of February 17, 2026 was $32.60 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 37.24% per annum.
  • TDC price at the close of February 17, 2026 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $2.12 (6.94%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of TDC price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: July 31, 2025
End date: January 28, 2026

a = -1.7693

b = 0.0029

s = 0.0761

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0029) – 1
= 188.68%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0761) – 1
= 35.58%

July 31, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,117)
= Exp(a + b × X1,117 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,624 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.7693 + 0.0029 × 1,624 + 2 × 0.0761)
= Exp(3.0998)
= $22.19

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,117)
= Exp(a + b × X1,117 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,624 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.7693 + 0.0029 × 1,624 – 2 × 0.0761)
= Exp(2.7954)
= $16.37

January 28, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,241)
= Exp(a + b × X1,241 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,805 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.7693 + 0.0029 × 1,805 + 2 × 0.0761)
= Exp(3.6255)
= $37.55

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,241)
= Exp(a + b × X1,241 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,805 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.7693 + 0.0029 × 1,805 – 2 × 0.0761)
= Exp(3.3211)
= $27.69

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 188.68% per annum.
  • TDC price at the close of February 17, 2026 was $32.60 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: December 1, 2025
End date: February 10, 2026

a = 5.6748

b = -0.0013

s = 0.0360

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0013) – 1
= -37.24%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0360) – 1
= 15.49%

December 1, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,202)
= Exp(a + b × X1,202 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,747 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6748 + -0.0013 × 1,747 + 2 × 0.0360)
= Exp(3.5168)
= $33.68

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,202)
= Exp(a + b × X1,202 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,747 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6748 + -0.0013 × 1,747 – 2 × 0.0360)
= Exp(3.3728)
= $29.16

February 10, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,250)
= Exp(a + b × X1,250 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,818 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6748 + -0.0013 × 1,818 + 2 × 0.0360)
= Exp(3.4262)
= $30.76

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,250)
= Exp(a + b × X1,250 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,818 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6748 + -0.0013 × 1,818 – 2 × 0.0360)
= Exp(3.2822)
= $26.63

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 37.24% per annum.
  • TDC price at the close of February 17, 2026 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $2.12 (6.94%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.