Ametek Inc (AME)
Ametek Inc. is a leading global manufacturer specializing in electronic instruments and electromechanical devices, headquartered in Berwyn, Pennsylvania. With a diverse portfolio of products and over 220 manufacturing facilities across the globe, Ametek serves a broad range of markets, including aerospace, power, and industrial. The company is recognized for its innovative solutions and customer-centric approach, positioning itself as a key player in the advanced manufacturing sector. Ametek's commitment to operational excellence and strategic acquisitions continue to drive its robust growth trajectory in a dynamic global market.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 23.87% per annum.
- AME price at the close of December 11, 2025 was $203.84 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $18.38 (8.27%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 11.51% per annum.
- AME price at the close of December 11, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of AME price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: April 22, 2022
End date: May 24, 2024
a = 4.4393
b = 0.0006
s = 0.0523
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0006) – 1
= 23.87%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0523) – 1
= 23.29%
April 22, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y341)
= Exp(a + b × X341 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 494 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4393 + 0.0006 × 494 + 2 × 0.0523)
= Exp(4.8337)
= $125.67
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y341)
= Exp(a + b × X341 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 494 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4393 + 0.0006 × 494 – 2 × 0.0523)
= Exp(4.6243)
= $101.93
May 24, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y866)
= Exp(a + b × X866 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4393 + 0.0006 × 1,257 + 2 × 0.0523)
= Exp(5.2811)
= $196.59
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y866)
= Exp(a + b × X866 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4393 + 0.0006 × 1,257 – 2 × 0.0523)
= Exp(5.0717)
= $159.45
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 23.87% per annum.
- AME price at the close of December 11, 2025 was $203.84 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $18.38 (8.27%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 4, 2022
End date: December 11, 2025
a = 4.7239
b = 0.0003
s = 0.0508
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0003) – 1
= 11.51%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0508) – 1
= 22.54%
November 4, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y477)
= Exp(a + b × X477 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 690 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7239 + 0.0003 × 690 + 2 × 0.0508)
= Exp(5.0314)
= $153.14
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y477)
= Exp(a + b × X477 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 690 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7239 + 0.0003 × 690 – 2 × 0.0508)
= Exp(4.8281)
= $124.98
December 11, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7239 + 0.0003 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0508)
= Exp(5.3695)
= $214.75
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7239 + 0.0003 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0508)
= Exp(5.1662)
= $175.25
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 11.51% per annum.
- AME price at the close of December 11, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.