Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY)
Mercury Systems, Inc. is a leading technology company specializing in the development and manufacturing of advanced components, modules, and subsystems designed for demanding aerospace and defense applications. Headquartered in Andover, Massachusetts, the company operates on a global scale, with a strong presence in the United States, Europe, and the Asia Pacific region. Mercury Systems is committed to delivering innovative solutions that enhance the performance and reliability of defense platforms, positioning itself as a key player in the defense technology sector. With a focus on high-integrity processing and secure cloud solutions, Mercury is well-positioned for sustained growth as defense spending and modernization efforts continue to rise globally.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
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Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 58.94% per annum.
- MRCY price at the close of October 17, 2025 was $75.54 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $9.28 (14.00%).
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 678.90% per annum.
- MRCY price at the close of October 17, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $3.55 (4.49%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of MRCY price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date:
End date:
a =
b =
s =
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × ) – 1
=
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × ) – 1
=
February 7, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
August 11, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 58.94% per annum.
- MRCY price at the close of October 17, 2025 was $75.54 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $9.28 (14.00%).
Secondary Trend
Start date:
End date:
a =
b =
s =
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × ) – 1
=
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × ) – 1
=
July 1, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
October 9, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 678.90% per annum.
- MRCY price at the close of October 17, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $3.55 (4.49%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.