Emerson Electric Company (EMR)
Emerson Electric Co. is an American multinational corporation headquartered in Ferguson, Missouri. The Fortune 500 company manufactures products and provides engineering services for a wide range of industrial, commercial, and consumer markets.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 26.31% per annum.
- EMR price at the close of December 24, 2025 was $136.30 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 17.91% per annum.
- EMR price at the close of December 24, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $1.97 (1.46%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of EMR price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: February 8, 2023
End date: February 28, 2025
a = 3.8514
b = 0.0006
s = 0.0574
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0006) – 1
= 26.31%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0574) – 1
= 25.80%
February 8, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y532)
= Exp(a + b × X532 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 772 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8514 + 0.0006 × 772 + 2 × 0.0574)
= Exp(4.4602)
= $86.50
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y532)
= Exp(a + b × X532 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 772 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8514 + 0.0006 × 772 – 2 × 0.0574)
= Exp(4.2307)
= $68.76
February 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,047)
= Exp(a + b × X1,047 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,523 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8514 + 0.0006 × 1,523 + 2 × 0.0574)
= Exp(4.9407)
= $139.87
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,047)
= Exp(a + b × X1,047 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,523 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8514 + 0.0006 × 1,523 – 2 × 0.0574)
= Exp(4.7112)
= $111.19
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 26.31% per annum.
- EMR price at the close of December 24, 2025 was $136.30 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: July 1, 2025
End date: December 2, 2025
a = 5.8263
b = -0.0005
s = 0.0297
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0005) – 1
= -17.91%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0297) – 1
= 12.62%
July 1, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,131)
= Exp(a + b × X1,131 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,646 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.8263 + -0.0005 × 1,646 + 2 × 0.0297)
= Exp(4.9955)
= $147.75
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,131)
= Exp(a + b × X1,131 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,646 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.8263 + -0.0005 × 1,646 – 2 × 0.0297)
= Exp(4.8767)
= $131.19
December 2, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,238)
= Exp(a + b × X1,238 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,800 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.8263 + -0.0005 × 1,800 + 2 × 0.0297)
= Exp(4.9122)
= $135.94
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,238)
= Exp(a + b × X1,238 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,800 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.8263 + -0.0005 × 1,800 – 2 × 0.0297)
= Exp(4.7934)
= $120.71
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 17.91% per annum.
- EMR price at the close of December 24, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $1.97 (1.46%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.