Avista Corporation (AVA)
Avista Corporation (AVA) is a diversified utility company based in Spokane, Washington, primarily engaged in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity and natural gas. Serving approximately 400,000 customers across Washington, Oregon, and Idaho, Avista is committed to delivering reliable energy solutions while prioritizing sustainability and renewable energy sources. With a robust infrastructure and a strategic focus on long-term resource planning, the company is well-positioned to navigate the evolving landscape of the energy sector. Avista's emphasis on customer service and community engagement further underscores its role as a key player in the regions it serves.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 12.96% per annum.
- AVA price at the close of December 16, 2025 was $38.47 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 6.29% per annum.
- AVA price at the close of December 16, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of AVA price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: August 14, 2023
End date: December 16, 2025
a = 3.0740
b = 0.0003
s = 0.0445
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0003) – 1
= 12.96%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0445) – 1
= 19.49%
August 14, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y666)
= Exp(a + b × X666 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 970 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0740 + 0.0003 × 970 + 2 × 0.0445)
= Exp(3.4870)
= $32.69
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y666)
= Exp(a + b × X666 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 970 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0740 + 0.0003 × 970 – 2 × 0.0445)
= Exp(3.3089)
= $27.35
December 16, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0740 + 0.0003 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0445)
= Exp(3.7725)
= $43.49
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0740 + 0.0003 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0445)
= Exp(3.5944)
= $36.39
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 12.96% per annum.
- AVA price at the close of December 16, 2025 was $38.47 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: July 17, 2024
End date: December 16, 2025
a = 3.3438
b = 0.0002
s = 0.0386
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0002) – 1
= 6.29%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0386) – 1
= 16.71%
July 17, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y898)
= Exp(a + b × X898 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,308 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3438 + 0.0002 × 1,308 + 2 × 0.0386)
= Exp(3.6395)
= $38.07
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y898)
= Exp(a + b × X898 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,308 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3438 + 0.0002 × 1,308 – 2 × 0.0386)
= Exp(3.4850)
= $32.62
December 16, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3438 + 0.0002 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0386)
= Exp(3.7259)
= $41.51
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3438 + 0.0002 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0386)
= Exp(3.5714)
= $35.57
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 6.29% per annum.
- AVA price at the close of December 16, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.