Stock Price Trends

Sempra Energy (SRE)

Sempra Energy (SRE) is a leading North American energy infrastructure company headquartered in San Diego, California, specializing in the development and operation of electric and natural gas infrastructure. The firm’s diverse portfolio includes major operating subsidiaries such as Southern California Gas Company (SoCalGas) and San Diego Gas & Electric (SDG&E), serving over 20 million customers in Southern California, as well as Oncor Electric Delivery Company in Texas. Sempra Energy also has a significant presence in the liquefied natural gas sector through Sempra LNG and IEnova in Mexico, positioning the company for robust growth in the evolving energy market and a commitment to sustainability and innovation.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 52.43% per annum.
  • SRE price at the close of October 8, 2025 was $93.36 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.26 (1.37%).
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1,008.10% per annum.
  • SRE price at the close of October 8, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of SRE price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: March 3, 2025
End date: October 8, 2025

a = 2.3503

b = 0.0012

s = 0.0325

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0012) – 1
= 52.43%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0325) – 1
= 13.88%

March 3, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,102)
= Exp(a + b × X1,102 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,606 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3503 + 0.0012 × 1,606 + 2 × 0.0325)
= Exp(4.2700)
= $71.52

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,102)
= Exp(a + b × X1,102 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,606 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3503 + 0.0012 × 1,606 – 2 × 0.0325)
= Exp(4.1400)
= $62.80

October 8, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3503 + 0.0012 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0325)
= Exp(4.5229)
= $92.10

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3503 + 0.0012 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0325)
= Exp(4.3929)
= $80.87

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 52.43% per annum.
  • SRE price at the close of October 8, 2025 was $93.36 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.26 (1.37%).

Secondary Trend

Start date: September 16, 2025
End date: October 8, 2025

a = -7.4840

b = 0.0066

s = 0.0113

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0066) – 1
= 1,008.10%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0113) – 1
= 4.64%

September 16, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,238)
= Exp(a + b × X1,238 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,803 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-7.4840 + 0.0066 × 1,803 + 2 × 0.0113)
= Exp(4.4199)
= $83.09

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,238)
= Exp(a + b × X1,238 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,803 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-7.4840 + 0.0066 × 1,803 – 2 × 0.0113)
= Exp(4.3746)
= $79.41

October 8, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-7.4840 + 0.0066 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0113)
= Exp(4.5649)
= $96.05

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-7.4840 + 0.0066 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0113)
= Exp(4.5195)
= $91.79

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1,008.10% per annum.
  • SRE price at the close of October 8, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.