Sempra Energy (SRE)
Sempra Energy (SRE) is a leading North American energy infrastructure company headquartered in San Diego, California, specializing in the development and operation of electric and natural gas infrastructure. The firm’s diverse portfolio includes major operating subsidiaries such as Southern California Gas Company (SoCalGas) and San Diego Gas & Electric (SDG&E), serving over 20 million customers in Southern California, as well as Oncor Electric Delivery Company in Texas. Sempra Energy also has a significant presence in the liquefied natural gas sector through Sempra LNG and IEnova in Mexico, positioning the company for robust growth in the evolving energy market and a commitment to sustainability and innovation.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 56.73% per annum.
- SRE price at the close of March 4, 2026 was $95.39 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $2.12 (2.17%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 12.52% per annum.
- SRE price at the close of March 4, 2026 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $5.31 (5.89%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of SRE price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: February 25, 2025
End date: December 5, 2025
a = 2.3987
b = 0.0012
s = 0.0327
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0012) – 1
= 56.73%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0327) – 1
= 13.98%
February 25, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y998)
= Exp(a + b × X998 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,453 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3987 + 0.0012 × 1,453 + 2 × 0.0327)
= Exp(4.2528)
= $70.30
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y998)
= Exp(a + b × X998 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,453 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3987 + 0.0012 × 1,453 – 2 × 0.0327)
= Exp(4.1220)
= $61.68
December 5, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,195)
= Exp(a + b × X1,195 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,736 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3987 + 0.0012 × 1,736 + 2 × 0.0327)
= Exp(4.6012)
= $99.61
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,195)
= Exp(a + b × X1,195 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,736 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3987 + 0.0012 × 1,736 – 2 × 0.0327)
= Exp(4.4704)
= $87.39
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 56.73% per annum.
- SRE price at the close of March 4, 2026 was $95.39 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $2.12 (2.17%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: September 26, 2025
End date: February 10, 2026
a = 5.1316
b = -0.0004
s = 0.0188
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0004) – 1
= -12.52%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0188) – 1
= 7.83%
September 26, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,146)
= Exp(a + b × X1,146 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,666 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1316 + -0.0004 × 1,666 + 2 × 0.0188)
= Exp(4.5589)
= $95.48
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,146)
= Exp(a + b × X1,146 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,666 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1316 + -0.0004 × 1,666 – 2 × 0.0188)
= Exp(4.4836)
= $88.55
February 10, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,239)
= Exp(a + b × X1,239 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,803 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1316 + -0.0004 × 1,803 + 2 × 0.0188)
= Exp(4.5088)
= $90.81
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,239)
= Exp(a + b × X1,239 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,803 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1316 + -0.0004 × 1,803 – 2 × 0.0188)
= Exp(4.4334)
= $84.22
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 12.52% per annum.
- SRE price at the close of March 4, 2026 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $5.31 (5.89%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.