Kontoor Brands Inc (KTB)
Kontoor Brands, Inc., a lifestyle apparel company, designs, manufactures, acquires, markets and distributes apparel under the Wrangler and Lee brands in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Greensboro, North Carolina.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 48.71% per annum.
- KTB price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $60.95 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $16.12 (20.91%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 68.23% per annum.
- KTB price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of KTB price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: June 10, 2022
End date: February 24, 2025
a = 2.5491
b = 0.0011
s = 0.0942
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0011) – 1
= 48.71%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0942) – 1
= 45.77%
June 10, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y534)
= Exp(a + b × X534 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 772 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5491 + 0.0011 × 772 + 2 × 0.0942)
= Exp(3.5768)
= $35.76
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y534)
= Exp(a + b × X534 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 772 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5491 + 0.0011 × 772 – 2 × 0.0942)
= Exp(3.1999)
= $24.53
February 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,211)
= Exp(a + b × X1,211 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,762 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5491 + 0.0011 × 1,762 + 2 × 0.0942)
= Exp(4.6531)
= $104.91
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,211)
= Exp(a + b × X1,211 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,762 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5491 + 0.0011 × 1,762 – 2 × 0.0942)
= Exp(4.2762)
= $71.97
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 48.71% per annum.
- KTB price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $60.95 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $16.12 (20.91%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 8, 2024
End date: April 28, 2025
a = 9.8005
b = -0.0031
s = 0.0929
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0031) – 1
= -68.23%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0929) – 1
= 44.99%
November 8, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,141)
= Exp(a + b × X1,141 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,654 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.8005 + -0.0031 × 1,654 + 2 × 0.0929)
= Exp(4.7905)
= $120.36
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,141)
= Exp(a + b × X1,141 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,654 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.8005 + -0.0031 × 1,654 – 2 × 0.0929)
= Exp(4.4190)
= $83.02
April 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.8005 + -0.0031 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0929)
= Exp(4.2534)
= $70.34
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.8005 + -0.0031 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0929)
= Exp(3.8819)
= $48.51
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 68.23% per annum.
- KTB price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.