Stock Price Trends

Kontoor Brands Inc (KTB)

Kontoor Brands, Inc. (KTB) is a leading lifestyle apparel company renowned for its iconic Wrangler and Lee brands, which are recognized globally for quality and style. Headquartered in Greensboro, North Carolina, Kontoor designs, manufactures, and distributes its products, catering to a diverse consumer base both domestically and internationally. With a strong emphasis on innovation and sustainability, the company is well-positioned to capitalize on evolving market trends and consumer preferences, making it an attractive investment opportunity in the apparel industry.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 47.49% per annum.
  • KTB price at the close of November 5, 2025 was $76.86 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $15.02 (16.35%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 2.00% per annum.
  • KTB price at the close of November 5, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of KTB price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: May 18, 2022
End date: February 24, 2025

a = 2.7704

b = 0.0011

s = 0.0964

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0011) – 1
= 47.49%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0964) – 1
= 47.05%

May 18, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y384)
= Exp(a + b × X384 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 558 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7704 + 0.0011 × 558 + 2 × 0.0964)
= Exp(3.5572)
= $35.07

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y384)
= Exp(a + b × X384 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 558 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7704 + 0.0011 × 558 – 2 × 0.0964)
= Exp(3.1716)
= $23.85

February 24, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,077)
= Exp(a + b × X1,077 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,571 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7704 + 0.0011 × 1,571 + 2 × 0.0964)
= Exp(4.6357)
= $103.10

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,077)
= Exp(a + b × X1,077 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,571 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7704 + 0.0011 × 1,571 – 2 × 0.0964)
= Exp(4.2501)
= $70.11

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 47.49% per annum.
  • KTB price at the close of November 5, 2025 was $76.86 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $15.02 (16.35%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: May 2, 2024
End date: November 5, 2025

a = 4.1932

b = 0.0001

s = 0.1323

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0001) – 1
= 2.00%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1323) – 1
= 69.77%

May 2, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y875)
= Exp(a + b × X875 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,273 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1932 + 0.0001 × 1,273 + 2 × 0.1323)
= Exp(4.5271)
= $92.49

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y875)
= Exp(a + b × X875 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,273 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1932 + 0.0001 × 1,273 – 2 × 0.1323)
= Exp(3.9978)
= $54.48

November 5, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1932 + 0.0001 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.1323)
= Exp(4.5571)
= $95.30

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1932 + 0.0001 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.1323)
= Exp(4.0278)
= $56.14

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 2.00% per annum.
  • KTB price at the close of November 5, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.