Tapestry Inc (TPR)
Tapestry, Inc. is an American multinational luxury fashion holding company. It is based in New York City and is the parent company of three major brands: Coach New York, Kate Spade New York and Stuart Weitzman.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 96.27% per annum.
- TPR price at the close of February 9, 2026 was $154.65 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 125.20% per annum.
- TPR price at the close of February 9, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of TPR price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 6, 2023
End date: February 9, 2026
a = 1.5133
b = 0.0018
s = 0.1209
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0018) – 1
= 96.27%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1209) – 1
= 62.17%
September 6, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y646)
= Exp(a + b × X646 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 938 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5133 + 0.0018 × 938 + 2 × 0.1209)
= Exp(3.4879)
= $32.72
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y646)
= Exp(a + b × X646 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 938 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5133 + 0.0018 × 938 – 2 × 0.1209)
= Exp(3.0044)
= $20.18
February 9, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5133 + 0.0018 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.1209)
= Exp(5.1266)
= $168.45
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5133 + 0.0018 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.1209)
= Exp(4.6431)
= $103.87
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 96.27% per annum.
- TPR price at the close of February 9, 2026 was $154.65 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: June 18, 2024
End date: February 9, 2026
a = 0.9130
b = 0.0022
s = 0.1014
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0022) – 1
= 125.20%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1014) – 1
= 50.05%
June 18, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y843)
= Exp(a + b × X843 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,224 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.9130 + 0.0022 × 1,224 + 2 × 0.1014)
= Exp(3.8382)
= $46.44
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y843)
= Exp(a + b × X843 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,224 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.9130 + 0.0022 × 1,224 – 2 × 0.1014)
= Exp(3.4325)
= $30.95
February 9, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.9130 + 0.0022 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.1014)
= Exp(5.1749)
= $176.79
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.9130 + 0.0022 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.1014)
= Exp(4.7692)
= $117.82
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 125.20% per annum.
- TPR price at the close of February 9, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.