Tapestry Inc (TPR)
Tapestry, Inc. is an American multinational luxury fashion holding company. It is based in New York City and is the parent company of three major brands: Coach New York, Kate Spade New York and Stuart Weitzman.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 95.21% per annum.
- TPR price at the close of December 24, 2025 was $130.20 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1,029.86% per annum.
- TPR price at the close of December 24, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of TPR price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 6, 2023
End date: December 24, 2025
a = 1.4508
b = 0.0018
s = 0.1231
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0018) – 1
= 95.21%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1231) – 1
= 63.65%
September 6, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y676)
= Exp(a + b × X676 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 982 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.4508 + 0.0018 × 982 + 2 × 0.1231)
= Exp(3.4967)
= $33.01
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y676)
= Exp(a + b × X676 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 982 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.4508 + 0.0018 × 982 – 2 × 0.1231)
= Exp(3.0041)
= $20.17
December 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.4508 + 0.0018 × 1,822 + 2 × 0.1231)
= Exp(5.0361)
= $153.87
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.4508 + 0.0018 × 1,822 – 2 × 0.1231)
= Exp(4.5435)
= $94.02
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 95.21% per annum.
- TPR price at the close of December 24, 2025 was $130.20 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 13, 2025
End date: December 24, 2025
a = -7.2333
b = 0.0066
s = 0.0137
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0066) – 1
= 1,029.86%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0137) – 1
= 5.64%
November 13, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,226)
= Exp(a + b × X1,226 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,781 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-7.2333 + 0.0066 × 1,781 + 2 × 0.0137)
= Exp(4.6253)
= $102.03
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,226)
= Exp(a + b × X1,226 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,781 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-7.2333 + 0.0066 × 1,781 – 2 × 0.0137)
= Exp(4.5704)
= $96.59
December 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-7.2333 + 0.0066 × 1,822 + 2 × 0.0137)
= Exp(4.8977)
= $133.98
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-7.2333 + 0.0066 × 1,822 – 2 × 0.0137)
= Exp(4.8428)
= $126.82
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1,029.86% per annum.
- TPR price at the close of December 24, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.