Stock Price Trends

VF Corporation (VFC)

VF Corporation is a leading American apparel and footwear company, founded in 1899 and headquartered in Denver, Colorado. With a diverse portfolio of over 30 brands, the company operates across three key categories: Outdoor, Active, and Work, catering to a wide range of consumer needs and lifestyles. VF Corporation is committed to sustainable practices and innovation, leveraging its strong reputation and heritage to drive growth in an increasingly competitive market. As a global leader in the industry, the company continues to evolve its offerings, positioning itself for long-term success.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 100.90% per annum.
  • VFC price at the close of March 13, 2026 was $15.96 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $1.44 (8.29%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 98.85% per annum.
  • VFC price at the close of March 13, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of VFC price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: March 5, 2026

a = -0.4689

b = 0.0019

s = 0.0803

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0019) – 1
= 100.90%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0803) – 1
= 37.89%

April 3, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,019)
= Exp(a + b × X1,019 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,480 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.4689 + 0.0019 × 1,480 + 2 × 0.0803)
= Exp(2.5205)
= $12.43

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,019)
= Exp(a + b × X1,019 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,480 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.4689 + 0.0019 × 1,480 – 2 × 0.0803)
= Exp(2.1992)
= $9.02

March 5, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,249)
= Exp(a + b × X1,249 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,816 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.4689 + 0.0019 × 1,816 + 2 × 0.0803)
= Exp(3.1627)
= $23.63

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,249)
= Exp(a + b × X1,249 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,816 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.4689 + 0.0019 × 1,816 – 2 × 0.0803)
= Exp(2.8414)
= $17.14

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 100.90% per annum.
  • VFC price at the close of March 13, 2026 was $15.96 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $1.44 (8.29%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: February 19, 2026
End date: March 13, 2026

a = 25.1029

b = -0.0122

s = 0.0209

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0122) – 1
= -98.85%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0209) – 1
= 8.74%

February 19, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,239)
= Exp(a + b × X1,239 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,802 + 2 × s)
= Exp(25.1029 + -0.0122 × 1,802 + 2 × 0.0209)
= Exp(3.0927)
= $22.04

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,239)
= Exp(a + b × X1,239 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,802 – 2 × s)
= Exp(25.1029 + -0.0122 × 1,802 – 2 × 0.0209)
= Exp(3.0089)
= $20.27

March 13, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(25.1029 + -0.0122 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0209)
= Exp(2.8235)
= $16.84

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(25.1029 + -0.0122 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0209)
= Exp(2.7397)
= $15.48

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 98.85% per annum.
  • VFC price at the close of March 13, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.