VF Corporation (VFC)
VF Corporation is an American worldwide apparel and footwear company founded in 1899 and headquartered in Denver, Colorado. The company's more than 30 brands are organized into three categories: Outdoor, Active and Work.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 2.91% per annum.
- VFC price at the close of September 12, 2025 was $14.86 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 62.78% per annum.
- VFC price at the close of September 12, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $0.21 (1.41%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of VFC price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: March 7, 2023
End date: April 2, 2025
a = 2.7470
b = 0.0001
s = 0.1807
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0001) – 1
= 2.91%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1807) – 1
= 106.06%
March 7, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y622)
= Exp(a + b × X622 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 903 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7470 + 0.0001 × 903 + 2 × 0.1807)
= Exp(3.1795)
= $24.03
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y622)
= Exp(a + b × X622 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 903 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7470 + 0.0001 × 903 – 2 × 0.1807)
= Exp(2.4565)
= $11.66
April 2, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,142)
= Exp(a + b × X1,142 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,660 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7470 + 0.0001 × 1,660 + 2 × 0.1807)
= Exp(3.2391)
= $25.51
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,142)
= Exp(a + b × X1,142 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,660 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7470 + 0.0001 × 1,660 – 2 × 0.1807)
= Exp(2.5161)
= $12.38
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 2.91% per annum.
- VFC price at the close of September 12, 2025 was $14.86 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: October 29, 2024
End date: August 21, 2025
a = 7.2619
b = -0.0027
s = 0.1797
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0027) – 1
= -62.78%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1797) – 1
= 105.16%
October 29, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,037)
= Exp(a + b × X1,037 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,505 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.2619 + -0.0027 × 1,505 + 2 × 0.1797)
= Exp(3.5458)
= $34.67
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,037)
= Exp(a + b × X1,037 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,505 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.2619 + -0.0027 × 1,505 – 2 × 0.1797)
= Exp(2.8272)
= $16.90
August 21, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,239)
= Exp(a + b × X1,239 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,801 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.2619 + -0.0027 × 1,801 + 2 × 0.1797)
= Exp(2.7442)
= $15.55
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,239)
= Exp(a + b × X1,239 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,801 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.2619 + -0.0027 × 1,801 – 2 × 0.1797)
= Exp(2.0256)
= $7.58
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 62.78% per annum.
- VFC price at the close of September 12, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $0.21 (1.41%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.