Capri Holdings Ltd (CPRI)
Capri Holdings Limited is a global fashion luxury group headquartered in London, specializing in the design, marketing, distribution, and retail of high-end apparel, footwear, and accessories for both men and women. The company's portfolio includes renowned brands such as Michael Kors, Jimmy Choo, and Versace, catering to a diverse and affluent customer base across regions including North America, Europe, and Asia. With a strategic focus on innovation and style, Capri Holdings continues to enhance its global presence while leveraging its strong brand equity and expanding its direct-to-consumer sales channels.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 99.48% per annum.
- CPRI price at the close of March 11, 2026 was $17.86 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $7.70 (30.11%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 76.02% per annum.
- CPRI price at the close of March 11, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CPRI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: January 26, 2026
a = -0.0880
b = 0.0019
s = 0.0619
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0019) – 1
= 99.48%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0619) – 1
= 28.11%
April 3, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,020)
= Exp(a + b × X1,020 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,483 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.0880 + 0.0019 × 1,483 + 2 × 0.0619)
= Exp(2.8416)
= $17.14
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,020)
= Exp(a + b × X1,020 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,483 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.0880 + 0.0019 × 1,483 – 2 × 0.0619)
= Exp(2.5938)
= $13.38
January 26, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,223)
= Exp(a + b × X1,223 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,781 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.0880 + 0.0019 × 1,781 + 2 × 0.0619)
= Exp(3.4053)
= $30.12
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,223)
= Exp(a + b × X1,223 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,781 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.0880 + 0.0019 × 1,781 – 2 × 0.0619)
= Exp(3.1576)
= $23.51
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 99.48% per annum.
- CPRI price at the close of March 11, 2026 was $17.86 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $7.70 (30.11%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: December 3, 2025
End date: March 11, 2026
a = 10.0851
b = -0.0039
s = 0.0511
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0039) – 1
= -76.02%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0511) – 1
= 22.67%
December 3, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,188)
= Exp(a + b × X1,188 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,727 + 2 × s)
= Exp(10.0851 + -0.0039 × 1,727 + 2 × 0.0511)
= Exp(3.4302)
= $30.88
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,188)
= Exp(a + b × X1,188 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,727 – 2 × s)
= Exp(10.0851 + -0.0039 × 1,727 – 2 × 0.0511)
= Exp(3.2258)
= $25.17
March 11, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(10.0851 + -0.0039 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0511)
= Exp(3.0468)
= $21.05
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(10.0851 + -0.0039 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0511)
= Exp(2.8424)
= $17.16
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 76.02% per annum.
- CPRI price at the close of March 11, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.