Stock Price Trends

Capri Holdings Ltd (CPRI)

Capri Holdings Limited is a global fashion luxury group headquartered in London, specializing in the design, marketing, distribution, and retail of high-end apparel, footwear, and accessories for both men and women. The company's portfolio includes renowned brands such as Michael Kors, Jimmy Choo, and Versace, catering to a diverse and affluent customer base across regions including North America, Europe, and Asia. With a strategic focus on innovation and style, Capri Holdings continues to enhance its global presence while leveraging its strong brand equity and expanding its direct-to-consumer sales channels.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 104.27% per annum.
  • CPRI price at the close of December 11, 2025 was $26.71 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1,172.44% per annum.
  • CPRI price at the close of December 11, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CPRI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: December 11, 2025

a = -0.3631

b = 0.0020

s = 0.0648

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0020) – 1
= 104.27%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0648) – 1
= 29.59%

April 3, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,080)
= Exp(a + b × X1,080 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,571 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.3631 + 0.0020 × 1,571 + 2 × 0.0648)
= Exp(2.8409)
= $17.13

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,080)
= Exp(a + b × X1,080 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,571 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.3631 + 0.0020 × 1,571 – 2 × 0.0648)
= Exp(2.5817)
= $13.22

December 11, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.3631 + 0.0020 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0648)
= Exp(3.3341)
= $28.05

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.3631 + 0.0020 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0648)
= Exp(3.0749)
= $21.65

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 104.27% per annum.
  • CPRI price at the close of December 11, 2025 was $26.71 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: October 30, 2025
End date: December 11, 2025

a = -9.4037

b = 0.0070

s = 0.0356

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0070) – 1
= 1,172.44%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0356) – 1
= 15.32%

October 30, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,225)
= Exp(a + b × X1,225 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,781 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-9.4037 + 0.0070 × 1,781 + 2 × 0.0356)
= Exp(3.0786)
= $21.73

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,225)
= Exp(a + b × X1,225 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,781 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-9.4037 + 0.0070 × 1,781 – 2 × 0.0356)
= Exp(2.9361)
= $18.84

December 11, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-9.4037 + 0.0070 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0356)
= Exp(3.3713)
= $29.12

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-9.4037 + 0.0070 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0356)
= Exp(3.2287)
= $25.25

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1,172.44% per annum.
  • CPRI price at the close of December 11, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.