Stock Price Trends

Carter’s Inc (CRI)

Carter's, Inc. (Ticker: CRI) is a leading designer and marketer of branded children's apparel, offering a diverse portfolio that includes well-known names such as Carter's, OshKosh, and Skip Hop. With a strong presence in both domestic and international markets, the company is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, and focuses on delivering quality clothing and accessories for infants and young children. Carter's commitment to innovative design and value aligns well with its strategy to capture significant market share in the growing children's wear segment.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 47.71% per annum.
  • CRI price at the close of December 9, 2025 was $31.75 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.33 (4.37%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 151.00% per annum.
  • CRI price at the close of December 9, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.19 (0.60%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CRI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: January 29, 2024
End date: October 22, 2025

a = 6.4469

b = -0.0018

s = 0.1051

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0018) – 1
= -47.71%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1051) – 1
= 52.28%

January 29, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y786)
= Exp(a + b × X786 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,145 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4469 + -0.0018 × 1,145 + 2 × 0.1051)
= Exp(4.6231)
= $101.81

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y786)
= Exp(a + b × X786 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,145 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4469 + -0.0018 × 1,145 – 2 × 0.1051)
= Exp(4.2025)
= $66.86

October 22, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,221)
= Exp(a + b × X1,221 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,777 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4469 + -0.0018 × 1,777 + 2 × 0.1051)
= Exp(3.5004)
= $33.13

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,221)
= Exp(a + b × X1,221 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,777 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4469 + -0.0018 × 1,777 – 2 × 0.1051)
= Exp(3.0798)
= $21.75

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 47.71% per annum.
  • CRI price at the close of December 9, 2025 was $31.75 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.33 (4.37%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: July 25, 2025
End date: November 14, 2025

a = -1.0498

b = 0.0025

s = 0.0438

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0025) – 1
= 151.00%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0438) – 1
= 19.17%

July 25, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,159)
= Exp(a + b × X1,159 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,688 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.0498 + 0.0025 × 1,688 + 2 × 0.0438)
= Exp(3.2938)
= $26.95

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,159)
= Exp(a + b × X1,159 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,688 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.0498 + 0.0025 × 1,688 – 2 × 0.0438)
= Exp(3.1185)
= $22.61

November 14, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,238)
= Exp(a + b × X1,238 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,800 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.0498 + 0.0025 × 1,800 + 2 × 0.0438)
= Exp(3.5762)
= $35.74

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,238)
= Exp(a + b × X1,238 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,800 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.0498 + 0.0025 × 1,800 – 2 × 0.0438)
= Exp(3.4009)
= $29.99

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 151.00% per annum.
  • CRI price at the close of December 9, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.19 (0.60%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.