PVH Corp (PVH)
PVH Corp., formerly known as the Phillips-Van Heusen Corporation, is an American clothing company which owns brands such as Van Heusen, Tommy Hilfiger, Calvin Klein, IZOD, Arrow, Warner's, Olga, True & Co., and Geoffrey Beene.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 34.29% per annum.
- PVH price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $71.11 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 77.36% per annum.
- PVH price at the close of April 28, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $0.41 (0.59%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of PVH price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: December 19, 2023
End date: April 28, 2025
a = 6.4329
b = -0.0012
s = 0.0998
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0012) – 1
= -34.29%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0998) – 1
= 49.07%
December 19, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y917)
= Exp(a + b × X917 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,329 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4329 + -0.0012 × 1,329 + 2 × 0.0998)
= Exp(5.1035)
= $164.60
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y917)
= Exp(a + b × X917 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,329 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4329 + -0.0012 × 1,329 – 2 × 0.0998)
= Exp(4.7043)
= $110.42
April 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4329 + -0.0012 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0998)
= Exp(4.5328)
= $93.02
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4329 + -0.0012 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0998)
= Exp(4.1336)
= $62.40
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 34.29% per annum.
- PVH price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $71.11 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 25, 2024
End date: April 28, 2025
a = 11.5433
b = -0.0041
s = 0.0708
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0041) – 1
= -77.36%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0708) – 1
= 32.73%
November 25, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,152)
= Exp(a + b × X1,152 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,671 + 2 × s)
= Exp(11.5433 + -0.0041 × 1,671 + 2 × 0.0708)
= Exp(4.8851)
= $132.30
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,152)
= Exp(a + b × X1,152 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,671 – 2 × s)
= Exp(11.5433 + -0.0041 × 1,671 – 2 × 0.0708)
= Exp(4.6019)
= $99.67
April 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(11.5433 + -0.0041 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0708)
= Exp(4.2584)
= $70.70
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(11.5433 + -0.0041 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0708)
= Exp(3.9752)
= $53.26
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 77.36% per annum.
- PVH price at the close of April 28, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $0.41 (0.59%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.