Ralph Lauren Corp Class A (RL)
Ralph Lauren Corporation (Ticker: RL) is a premier American fashion house recognized for its distinctive lifestyle brand that spans both mid-range and luxury segments. The company excels in the design, marketing, and distribution of a diverse array of products including apparel, home goods, accessories, and fragrances. With a strong heritage and commitment to quality, Ralph Lauren continues to innovate and expand its global presence, appealing to a sophisticated consumer base that values timeless craftsmanship and modern style.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 57.36% per annum.
- RL price at the close of March 13, 2026 was $330.73 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 8.49% per annum.
- RL price at the close of March 13, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $5.76 (1.71%).
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of RL price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: March 10, 2023
End date: March 11, 2026
a = 3.6699
b = 0.0012
s = 0.0852
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0012) – 1
= 57.36%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0852) – 1
= 40.58%
March 10, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y501)
= Exp(a + b × X501 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 725 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6699 + 0.0012 × 725 + 2 × 0.0852)
= Exp(4.7407)
= $114.51
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y501)
= Exp(a + b × X501 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 725 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6699 + 0.0012 × 725 – 2 × 0.0852)
= Exp(4.4000)
= $81.45
March 11, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,253)
= Exp(a + b × X1,253 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6699 + 0.0012 × 1,822 + 2 × 0.0852)
= Exp(6.1032)
= $447.27
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,253)
= Exp(a + b × X1,253 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6699 + 0.0012 × 1,822 – 2 × 0.0852)
= Exp(5.7625)
= $318.16
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 57.36% per annum.
- RL price at the close of March 13, 2026 was $330.73 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 25, 2025
End date: March 13, 2026
a = 6.3174
b = -0.0002
s = 0.0277
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0002) – 1
= -8.49%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0277) – 1
= 11.73%
November 25, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,182)
= Exp(a + b × X1,182 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,716 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.3174 + -0.0002 × 1,716 + 2 × 0.0277)
= Exp(5.9558)
= $385.98
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,182)
= Exp(a + b × X1,182 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,716 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.3174 + -0.0002 × 1,716 – 2 × 0.0277)
= Exp(5.8448)
= $345.44
March 13, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.3174 + -0.0002 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0277)
= Exp(5.9295)
= $375.98
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.3174 + -0.0002 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0277)
= Exp(5.8186)
= $336.49
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 8.49% per annum.
- RL price at the close of March 13, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $5.76 (1.71%).