LTC Properties Inc (LTC)
LTC Properties Inc is a leading real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in the acquisition and management of senior housing and healthcare properties. The company employs a diversified investment strategy that includes back-lease sales, mortgage financing, joint ventures, and structured finance solutions such as preferred equity and mezzanine loans. With a focus on generating sustainable income and capital appreciation, LTC Properties aims to support the growing demand for senior living and healthcare services, positioning itself as a key player in the evolving healthcare real estate market.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 11.93% per annum.
- LTC price at the close of December 22, 2025 was $34.10 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 3.80% per annum.
- LTC price at the close of December 22, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of LTC price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: April 28, 2023
End date: December 9, 2025
a = 3.0393
b = 0.0003
s = 0.0419
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0003) – 1
= 11.93%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0419) – 1
= 18.23%
April 28, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y589)
= Exp(a + b × X589 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 856 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0393 + 0.0003 × 856 + 2 × 0.0419)
= Exp(3.3874)
= $29.59
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y589)
= Exp(a + b × X589 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 856 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0393 + 0.0003 × 856 – 2 × 0.0419)
= Exp(3.2200)
= $25.03
December 9, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,245)
= Exp(a + b × X1,245 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,812 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0393 + 0.0003 × 1,812 + 2 × 0.0419)
= Exp(3.6827)
= $39.75
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,245)
= Exp(a + b × X1,245 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,812 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0393 + 0.0003 × 1,812 – 2 × 0.0419)
= Exp(3.5152)
= $33.62
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 11.93% per annum.
- LTC price at the close of December 22, 2025 was $34.10 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: July 12, 2024
End date: December 22, 2025
a = 3.3725
b = 0.0001
s = 0.0300
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0001) – 1
= 3.80%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0300) – 1
= 12.76%
July 12, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y891)
= Exp(a + b × X891 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,297 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3725 + 0.0001 × 1,297 + 2 × 0.0300)
= Exp(3.5651)
= $35.34
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y891)
= Exp(a + b × X891 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,297 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3725 + 0.0001 × 1,297 – 2 × 0.0300)
= Exp(3.4451)
= $31.35
December 22, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3725 + 0.0001 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0300)
= Exp(3.6191)
= $37.30
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3725 + 0.0001 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0300)
= Exp(3.4991)
= $33.08
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 3.80% per annum.
- LTC price at the close of December 22, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.