Stock Price Trends

Universal Health Realty Income Trust (UHT)

Universal Health Realty Income Trust (UHT) is a real estate investment trust specializing in healthcare-related facilities, including acute care hospitals, rehabilitation centers, subacute care facilities, medical office buildings, and child care centers. The trust focuses on properties that support critical health services, ensuring a stable and growing portfolio driven by essential healthcare needs. With a strategic focus on long-term leases and a diverse tenant base, UHT aims to generate consistent income while promoting the delivery of vital health services across various markets.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 7.10% per annum.
  • UHT price at the close of January 6, 2026 was $39.74 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 82.34% per annum.
  • UHT price at the close of January 6, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of UHT price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: September 21, 2023
End date: January 6, 2026

a = 3.3300

b = 0.0002

s = 0.0612

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0002) – 1
= 7.10%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0612) – 1
= 27.74%

September 21, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y680)
= Exp(a + b × X680 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 987 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3300 + 0.0002 × 987 + 2 × 0.0612)
= Exp(3.6379)
= $38.01

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y680)
= Exp(a + b × X680 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 987 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3300 + 0.0002 × 987 – 2 × 0.0612)
= Exp(3.3931)
= $29.76

January 6, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3300 + 0.0002 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0612)
= Exp(3.7954)
= $44.50

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3300 + 0.0002 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0612)
= Exp(3.5506)
= $34.83

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 7.10% per annum.
  • UHT price at the close of January 6, 2026 was $39.74 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: October 6, 2025
End date: January 6, 2026

a = 0.7227

b = 0.0016

s = 0.0274

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0016) – 1
= 82.34%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0274) – 1
= 11.59%

October 6, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,191)
= Exp(a + b × X1,191 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,733 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.7227 + 0.0016 × 1,733 + 2 × 0.0274)
= Exp(3.6295)
= $37.69

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,191)
= Exp(a + b × X1,191 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,733 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.7227 + 0.0016 × 1,733 – 2 × 0.0274)
= Exp(3.5198)
= $33.78

January 6, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.7227 + 0.0016 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0274)
= Exp(3.7809)
= $43.85

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.7227 + 0.0016 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0274)
= Exp(3.6712)
= $39.30

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 82.34% per annum.
  • UHT price at the close of January 6, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.