Medical Properties Trust Inc (MPW)
Medical Properties Trust, Inc. (MPW) is a publicly traded real estate investment trust (REIT) established in 2003, specializing in the acquisition and development of net-leased hospital facilities across the United States and internationally. The company focuses on partnering with leading healthcare operators to provide essential inpatient care through its diverse portfolio of healthcare properties. With a strong commitment to delivering value to its shareholders, Medical Properties Trust strategically invests in high-quality healthcare assets, capitalizing on the growing demand for healthcare services and the stability of long-term leases.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 14.26% per annum.
- MPW price at the close of December 19, 2025 was $5.14 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 113.07% per annum.
- MPW price at the close of December 19, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of MPW price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 21, 2023
End date: December 19, 2025
a = 0.9352
b = 0.0004
s = 0.1338
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0004) – 1
= 14.26%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1338) – 1
= 70.79%
September 21, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y690)
= Exp(a + b × X690 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,003 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.9352 + 0.0004 × 1,003 + 2 × 0.1338)
= Exp(1.5691)
= $4.80
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y690)
= Exp(a + b × X690 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,003 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.9352 + 0.0004 × 1,003 – 2 × 0.1338)
= Exp(1.0338)
= $2.81
December 19, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.9352 + 0.0004 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.1338)
= Exp(1.8686)
= $6.48
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.9352 + 0.0004 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.1338)
= Exp(1.3333)
= $3.79
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 14.26% per annum.
- MPW price at the close of December 19, 2025 was $5.14 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: July 7, 2025
End date: December 19, 2025
a = -2.0665
b = 0.0021
s = 0.0541
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0021) – 1
= 113.07%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0541) – 1
= 24.15%
July 7, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,137)
= Exp(a + b × X1,137 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,658 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.0665 + 0.0021 × 1,658 + 2 × 0.0541)
= Exp(1.4778)
= $4.38
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,137)
= Exp(a + b × X1,137 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,658 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.0665 + 0.0021 × 1,658 – 2 × 0.0541)
= Exp(1.2614)
= $3.53
December 19, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.0665 + 0.0021 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0541)
= Exp(1.8197)
= $6.17
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.0665 + 0.0021 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0541)
= Exp(1.6034)
= $4.97
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 113.07% per annum.
- MPW price at the close of December 19, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.