Autoliv Inc (ALV)
Autoliv, Inc. develops, manufactures and supplies automotive security systems for the automotive industry in Europe, America, China, Japan and the rest of Asia. The company is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 22.77% per annum.
- ALV price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $92.11 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 8.84% per annum.
- ALV price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ALV price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: February 23, 2024
End date: April 28, 2025
a = 5.7494
b = -0.0007
s = 0.0581
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0007) – 1
= -22.77%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0581) – 1
= 26.14%
February 23, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y961)
= Exp(a + b × X961 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,395 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7494 + -0.0007 × 1,395 + 2 × 0.0581)
= Exp(4.8782)
= $131.40
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y961)
= Exp(a + b × X961 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,395 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7494 + -0.0007 × 1,395 – 2 × 0.0581)
= Exp(4.6460)
= $104.17
April 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7494 + -0.0007 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0581)
= Exp(4.5739)
= $96.92
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7494 + -0.0007 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0581)
= Exp(4.3417)
= $76.84
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 22.77% per annum.
- ALV price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $92.11 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: July 19, 2024
End date: April 28, 2025
a = 4.9700
b = -0.0003
s = 0.0427
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0003) – 1
= -8.84%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0427) – 1
= 18.61%
July 19, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,062)
= Exp(a + b × X1,062 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,542 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9700 + -0.0003 × 1,542 + 2 × 0.0427)
= Exp(4.6644)
= $106.10
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,062)
= Exp(a + b × X1,062 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,542 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9700 + -0.0003 × 1,542 – 2 × 0.0427)
= Exp(4.4937)
= $89.45
April 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9700 + -0.0003 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0427)
= Exp(4.5926)
= $98.75
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9700 + -0.0003 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0427)
= Exp(4.4219)
= $83.25
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 8.84% per annum.
- ALV price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.