Fox Factory Holding Corp (FOXF)
Fox Factory Holding Corp. The company is headquartered in Braselton, Georgia.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 54.98% per annum.
- FOXF price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $20.60 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 67.85% per annum.
- FOXF price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of FOXF price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: January 31, 2023
End date: April 28, 2025
a = 7.1233
b = -0.0022
s = 0.1169
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0022) – 1
= -54.98%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1169) – 1
= 59.63%
January 31, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y694)
= Exp(a + b × X694 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,007 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.1233 + -0.0022 × 1,007 + 2 × 0.1169)
= Exp(5.1556)
= $173.39
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y694)
= Exp(a + b × X694 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,007 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.1233 + -0.0022 × 1,007 – 2 × 0.1169)
= Exp(4.6879)
= $108.62
April 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.1233 + -0.0022 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.1169)
= Exp(3.3672)
= $29.00
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.1233 + -0.0022 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.1169)
= Exp(2.8995)
= $18.17
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 54.98% per annum.
- FOXF price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $20.60 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: September 16, 2024
End date: April 28, 2025
a = 8.7092
b = -0.0031
s = 0.0530
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0031) – 1
= -67.85%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0530) – 1
= 23.62%
September 16, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,102)
= Exp(a + b × X1,102 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,601 + 2 × s)
= Exp(8.7092 + -0.0031 × 1,601 + 2 × 0.0530)
= Exp(3.8375)
= $46.41
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,102)
= Exp(a + b × X1,102 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,601 – 2 × s)
= Exp(8.7092 + -0.0031 × 1,601 – 2 × 0.0530)
= Exp(3.6255)
= $37.54
April 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(8.7092 + -0.0031 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0530)
= Exp(3.1411)
= $23.13
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(8.7092 + -0.0031 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0530)
= Exp(2.9291)
= $18.71
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 67.85% per annum.
- FOXF price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.