Azenta Inc (AZTA)
None
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 46.18% per annum.
- AZTA price at the close of February 12, 2026 was $28.12 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $4.15 (12.85%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 99.86% per annum.
- AZTA price at the close of February 12, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of AZTA price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: April 4, 2025
End date: February 3, 2026
a = 1.7137
b = 0.0010
s = 0.0675
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0010) – 1
= 46.18%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0675) – 1
= 30.99%
April 4, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,039)
= Exp(a + b × X1,039 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,508 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.7137 + 0.0010 × 1,508 + 2 × 0.0675)
= Exp(3.4174)
= $30.49
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,039)
= Exp(a + b × X1,039 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,508 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.7137 + 0.0010 × 1,508 – 2 × 0.0675)
= Exp(3.1474)
= $23.28
February 3, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,247)
= Exp(a + b × X1,247 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,813 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.7137 + 0.0010 × 1,813 + 2 × 0.0675)
= Exp(3.7347)
= $41.87
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,247)
= Exp(a + b × X1,247 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,813 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.7137 + 0.0010 × 1,813 – 2 × 0.0675)
= Exp(3.4647)
= $31.97
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 46.18% per annum.
- AZTA price at the close of February 12, 2026 was $28.12 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $4.15 (12.85%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: January 20, 2026
End date: February 12, 2026
a = 36.0534
b = -0.0180
s = 0.0791
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0180) – 1
= -99.86%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0791) – 1
= 37.19%
January 20, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,237)
= Exp(a + b × X1,237 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,799 + 2 × s)
= Exp(36.0534 + -0.0180 × 1,799 + 2 × 0.0791)
= Exp(3.9179)
= $50.29
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,237)
= Exp(a + b × X1,237 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,799 – 2 × s)
= Exp(36.0534 + -0.0180 × 1,799 – 2 × 0.0791)
= Exp(3.6017)
= $36.66
February 12, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 + 2 × s)
= Exp(36.0534 + -0.0180 × 1,822 + 2 × 0.0791)
= Exp(3.5050)
= $33.28
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 – 2 × s)
= Exp(36.0534 + -0.0180 × 1,822 – 2 × 0.0791)
= Exp(3.1888)
= $24.26
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 99.86% per annum.
- AZTA price at the close of February 12, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.