Stock Price Trends

Azenta Inc (AZTA)

None

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 35.50% per annum.
  • AZTA price at the close of December 19, 2025 was $34.43 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 393.31% per annum.
  • AZTA price at the close of December 19, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of AZTA price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: April 4, 2025
End date: December 19, 2025

a = 2.0008

b = 0.0008

s = 0.0648

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0008) – 1
= 35.50%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0648) – 1
= 29.62%

April 4, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,075)
= Exp(a + b × X1,075 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,564 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.0008 + 0.0008 × 1,564 + 2 × 0.0648)
= Exp(3.4322)
= $30.94

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,075)
= Exp(a + b × X1,075 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,564 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.0008 + 0.0008 × 1,564 – 2 × 0.0648)
= Exp(3.1728)
= $23.87

December 19, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.0008 + 0.0008 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0648)
= Exp(3.6477)
= $38.39

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.0008 + 0.0008 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0648)
= Exp(3.3883)
= $29.62

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 35.50% per annum.
  • AZTA price at the close of December 19, 2025 was $34.43 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: October 29, 2025
End date: December 19, 2025

a = -4.3685

b = 0.0044

s = 0.0550

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0044) – 1
= 393.31%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0550) – 1
= 24.62%

October 29, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,218)
= Exp(a + b × X1,218 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,772 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-4.3685 + 0.0044 × 1,772 + 2 × 0.0550)
= Exp(3.4897)
= $32.78

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,218)
= Exp(a + b × X1,218 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,772 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-4.3685 + 0.0044 × 1,772 – 2 × 0.0550)
= Exp(3.2696)
= $26.30

December 19, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-4.3685 + 0.0044 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0550)
= Exp(3.7127)
= $40.96

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-4.3685 + 0.0044 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0550)
= Exp(3.4926)
= $32.87

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 393.31% per annum.
  • AZTA price at the close of December 19, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.