Stock Price Trends

Global Payments Inc (GPN)

Global Payments Inc. (GPN) is a leading provider of integrated payment processing and financial technology solutions, headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. The company serves a diverse client base across various industries, offering innovative solutions that encompass payment processing, cybersecurity, and data analytics. With a robust global reach and strategic partnerships, Global Payments is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for digital payment solutions, driving operational efficiency and enhancing customer experience. Its commitment to technological advancement and customer-centric services establishes GPN as a key player in the financial technology landscape.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 72.67% per annum.
  • GPN price at the close of January 29, 2026 was $71.35 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $308.29 (81.21%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 22.33% per annum.
  • GPN price at the close of January 29, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of GPN price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: December 11, 2023
End date: February 15, 2024

a = 3.2416

b = 0.0015

s = 0.0152

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0015) – 1
= 72.67%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0152) – 1
= 6.29%

December 11, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y720)
= Exp(a + b × X720 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,043 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2416 + 0.0015 × 1,043 + 2 × 0.0152)
= Exp(4.8329)
= $125.58

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y720)
= Exp(a + b × X720 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,043 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2416 + 0.0015 × 1,043 – 2 × 0.0152)
= Exp(4.7719)
= $118.15

February 15, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y765)
= Exp(a + b × X765 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,109 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2416 + 0.0015 × 1,109 + 2 × 0.0152)
= Exp(4.9317)
= $138.61

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y765)
= Exp(a + b × X765 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,109 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2416 + 0.0015 × 1,109 – 2 × 0.0152)
= Exp(4.8707)
= $130.41

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 72.67% per annum.
  • GPN price at the close of January 29, 2026 was $71.35 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $308.29 (81.21%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: December 11, 2023
End date: January 29, 2026

a = 5.5695

b = -0.0007

s = 0.0926

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0007) – 1
= -22.33%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0926) – 1
= 44.83%

December 11, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y720)
= Exp(a + b × X720 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,043 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.5695 + -0.0007 × 1,043 + 2 × 0.0926)
= Exp(5.0327)
= $153.34

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y720)
= Exp(a + b × X720 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,043 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.5695 + -0.0007 × 1,043 – 2 × 0.0926)
= Exp(4.6622)
= $105.87

January 29, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.5695 + -0.0007 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0926)
= Exp(4.4926)
= $89.36

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.5695 + -0.0007 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0926)
= Exp(4.1222)
= $61.70

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 22.33% per annum.
  • GPN price at the close of January 29, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.