Stock Price Trends

Fiserv, Inc. (FI)

Fiserv, Inc. is a leading American multinational financial technology company, headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, that specializes in providing a diverse range of financial services solutions, including payment processing, risk management, and business analytics. With a strong emphasis on innovation, Fiserv serves thousands of clients worldwide, including banks, credit unions, and financial institutions, enabling them to enhance their digital banking capabilities and streamline operations. The company's robust technology platform and strategic acquisitions position it as a key player in the rapidly evolving fintech landscape, driving value and efficiency for its clients. As a trusted partner in the financial services ecosystem, Fiserv continues to shape the future of payment and transaction processing across various sectors.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 63.12% per annum.
  • FI price at the close of October 13, 2025 was $122.55 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 37.70% per annum.
  • FI price at the close of October 13, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of FI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: February 5, 2025
End date: October 13, 2025

a = 9.7834

b = -0.0027

s = 0.0527

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0027) – 1
= -63.12%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0527) – 1
= 23.44%

February 5, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,082)
= Exp(a + b × X1,082 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,575 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.7834 + -0.0027 × 1,575 + 2 × 0.0527)
= Exp(5.5844)
= $266.23

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,082)
= Exp(a + b × X1,082 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,575 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.7834 + -0.0027 × 1,575 – 2 × 0.0527)
= Exp(5.3738)
= $215.67

October 13, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.7834 + -0.0027 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0527)
= Exp(4.9012)
= $134.44

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.7834 + -0.0027 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0527)
= Exp(4.6905)
= $108.91

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 63.12% per annum.
  • FI price at the close of October 13, 2025 was $122.55 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: July 23, 2025
End date: October 13, 2025

a = 7.2093

b = -0.0013

s = 0.0215

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0013) – 1
= -37.70%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0215) – 1
= 9.00%

July 23, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,197)
= Exp(a + b × X1,197 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,743 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.2093 + -0.0013 × 1,743 + 2 × 0.0215)
= Exp(4.9924)
= $147.28

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,197)
= Exp(a + b × X1,197 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,743 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.2093 + -0.0013 × 1,743 – 2 × 0.0215)
= Exp(4.9062)
= $135.12

October 13, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.2093 + -0.0013 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0215)
= Exp(4.8860)
= $132.43

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.2093 + -0.0013 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0215)
= Exp(4.7999)
= $121.49

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 37.70% per annum.
  • FI price at the close of October 13, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.