J & J Snack Foods Corp (JJSF)
J & J Snack Foods Corp. is a leading manufacturer and distributor of snack foods and beverages, headquartered in Pennsauken, New Jersey. The company specializes in a diverse portfolio of products, including frozen novelties, soft pretzels, and fruit-based snacks, catering to various markets such as retail, food service, and vending. With a strong emphasis on innovation and quality, JJSF has established a significant presence in the snack food industry, leveraging its brand recognition and distribution capabilities to drive sustainable growth. The company's commitment to health-conscious offerings positions it well to meet evolving consumer preferences in a dynamic market landscape.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 38.72% per annum.
- JJSF price at the close of February 2, 2026 was $95.20 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.11 (1.18%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 68.08% per annum.
- JJSF price at the close of February 2, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of JJSF price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: July 17, 2024
End date: January 8, 2026
a = 6.8757
b = -0.0013
s = 0.0586
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0013) – 1
= -38.72%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0586) – 1
= 26.43%
July 17, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y867)
= Exp(a + b × X867 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,260 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.8757 + -0.0013 × 1,260 + 2 × 0.0586)
= Exp(5.3023)
= $200.81
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y867)
= Exp(a + b × X867 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,260 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.8757 + -0.0013 × 1,260 – 2 × 0.0586)
= Exp(5.0678)
= $158.83
January 8, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,238)
= Exp(a + b × X1,238 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,800 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.8757 + -0.0013 × 1,800 + 2 × 0.0586)
= Exp(4.5778)
= $97.30
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,238)
= Exp(a + b × X1,238 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,800 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.8757 + -0.0013 × 1,800 – 2 × 0.0586)
= Exp(4.3433)
= $76.96
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 38.72% per annum.
- JJSF price at the close of February 2, 2026 was $95.20 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.11 (1.18%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: October 29, 2025
End date: February 2, 2026
a = 1.9773
b = 0.0014
s = 0.0307
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0014) – 1
= 68.08%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0307) – 1
= 13.08%
October 29, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,190)
= Exp(a + b × X1,190 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,729 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9773 + 0.0014 × 1,729 + 2 × 0.0307)
= Exp(4.4985)
= $89.89
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,190)
= Exp(a + b × X1,190 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,729 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9773 + 0.0014 × 1,729 – 2 × 0.0307)
= Exp(4.3756)
= $79.49
February 2, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9773 + 0.0014 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0307)
= Exp(4.6351)
= $103.04
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9773 + 0.0014 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0307)
= Exp(4.5122)
= $91.12
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 68.08% per annum.
- JJSF price at the close of February 2, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.