Lamb Weston Holdings Inc (LW)
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. is a leading global food processing company, renowned for its position as one of the largest producers of frozen french fries and potato products. Headquartered in Eagle, Idaho, the company serves a diverse range of customers, including restaurants, retailers, and food service operators across more than 100 countries. With a robust commitment to innovation, sustainability, and quality, Lamb Weston continues to expand its product offerings while meeting the evolving demands of the food industry, making it a key player in the agricultural supply chain.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 26.10% per annum.
- LW price at the close of March 27, 2026 was $41.60 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 85.41% per annum.
- LW price at the close of March 27, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of LW price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: March 27, 2023
End date: March 27, 2026
a = 5.3049
b = -0.0008
s = 0.1178
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0008) – 1
= -26.10%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1178) – 1
= 60.19%
March 27, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y502)
= Exp(a + b × X502 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 728 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.3049 + -0.0008 × 728 + 2 × 0.1178)
= Exp(4.9373)
= $139.40
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y502)
= Exp(a + b × X502 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 728 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.3049 + -0.0008 × 728 – 2 × 0.1178)
= Exp(4.4661)
= $87.02
March 27, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.3049 + -0.0008 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.1178)
= Exp(4.0293)
= $56.22
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.3049 + -0.0008 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.1178)
= Exp(3.5581)
= $35.10
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 26.10% per annum.
- LW price at the close of March 27, 2026 was $41.60 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: February 6, 2026
End date: March 27, 2026
a = 13.3079
b = -0.0053
s = 0.0286
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0053) – 1
= -85.41%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0286) – 1
= 12.12%
February 6, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,221)
= Exp(a + b × X1,221 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,775 + 2 × s)
= Exp(13.3079 + -0.0053 × 1,775 + 2 × 0.0286)
= Exp(4.0051)
= $54.88
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,221)
= Exp(a + b × X1,221 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,775 – 2 × s)
= Exp(13.3079 + -0.0053 × 1,775 – 2 × 0.0286)
= Exp(3.8907)
= $48.95
March 27, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(13.3079 + -0.0053 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0286)
= Exp(3.7467)
= $42.38
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(13.3079 + -0.0053 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0286)
= Exp(3.6323)
= $37.80
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 85.41% per annum.
- LW price at the close of March 27, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.