Tyson Foods Inc (TSN)
Tyson Foods, Inc. is an American multinational corporation based in Springdale, Arkansas, that operates in the food industry.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 16.28% per annum.
- TSN price at the close of March 11, 2026 was $59.81 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $2.11 (3.41%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 1.94% per annum.
- TSN price at the close of March 11, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of TSN price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: May 8, 2023
End date: May 2, 2025
a = 3.4847
b = 0.0004
s = 0.0566
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0004) – 1
= 16.28%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0566) – 1
= 25.40%
May 8, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y542)
= Exp(a + b × X542 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 787 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4847 + 0.0004 × 787 + 2 × 0.0566)
= Exp(3.9232)
= $50.56
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y542)
= Exp(a + b × X542 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 787 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4847 + 0.0004 × 787 – 2 × 0.0566)
= Exp(3.6968)
= $40.32
May 2, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,040)
= Exp(a + b × X1,040 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,512 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4847 + 0.0004 × 1,512 + 2 × 0.0566)
= Exp(4.2228)
= $68.23
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,040)
= Exp(a + b × X1,040 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,512 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4847 + 0.0004 × 1,512 – 2 × 0.0566)
= Exp(3.9965)
= $54.41
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 16.28% per annum.
- TSN price at the close of March 11, 2026 was $59.81 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $2.11 (3.41%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: March 13, 2024
End date: January 9, 2026
a = 4.0965
b = -0.0001
s = 0.0467
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0001) – 1
= -1.94%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0467) – 1
= 20.54%
March 13, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y755)
= Exp(a + b × X755 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,097 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0965 + -0.0001 × 1,097 + 2 × 0.0467)
= Exp(4.1311)
= $62.25
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y755)
= Exp(a + b × X755 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,097 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0965 + -0.0001 × 1,097 – 2 × 0.0467)
= Exp(3.9443)
= $51.64
January 9, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,213)
= Exp(a + b × X1,213 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,764 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0965 + -0.0001 × 1,764 + 2 × 0.0467)
= Exp(4.0954)
= $60.06
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,213)
= Exp(a + b × X1,213 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,764 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0965 + -0.0001 × 1,764 – 2 × 0.0467)
= Exp(3.9085)
= $49.83
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 1.94% per annum.
- TSN price at the close of March 11, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.