Stock Price Trends

General Mills Inc (GIS)

General Mills, Inc. is a leading American multinational company specializing in the manufacturing and marketing of branded consumer foods, with a robust portfolio that includes well-known brands such as Cheerios, Betty Crocker, and Häagen-Dazs. Headquartered in Golden Valley, Minnesota, the company operates in various segments, including U.S. Retail, Convenience Stores & Foodservice, and International, ensuring a diverse revenue stream. General Mills is committed to innovation in food production and sustainability practices, positioning itself for long-term growth in the competitive consumer goods market. With a focus on delivering quality and convenience, the company continues to adapt to evolving consumer preferences and global market trends.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 28.33% per annum.
  • GIS price at the close of November 6, 2025 was $45.98 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 13.09% per annum.
  • GIS price at the close of November 6, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.14 (0.31%).

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of GIS price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: August 19, 2024
End date: November 6, 2025

a = 5.4954

b = -0.0009

s = 0.0292

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0009) – 1
= -28.33%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0292) – 1
= 12.38%

August 19, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y948)
= Exp(a + b × X948 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,379 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.4954 + -0.0009 × 1,379 + 2 × 0.0292)
= Exp(4.2951)
= $73.34

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y948)
= Exp(a + b × X948 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,379 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.4954 + -0.0009 × 1,379 – 2 × 0.0292)
= Exp(4.1783)
= $65.26

November 6, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.4954 + -0.0009 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0292)
= Exp(3.8898)
= $48.90

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.4954 + -0.0009 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0292)
= Exp(3.7730)
= $43.51

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 28.33% per annum.
  • GIS price at the close of November 6, 2025 was $45.98 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: June 25, 2025
End date: November 6, 2025

a = 4.5690

b = -0.0004

s = 0.0185

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0004) – 1
= -13.09%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0185) – 1
= 7.68%

June 25, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,160)
= Exp(a + b × X1,160 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,689 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.5690 + -0.0004 × 1,689 + 2 × 0.0185)
= Exp(3.9568)
= $52.29

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,160)
= Exp(a + b × X1,160 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,689 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.5690 + -0.0004 × 1,689 – 2 × 0.0185)
= Exp(3.8828)
= $48.56

November 6, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.5690 + -0.0004 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0185)
= Exp(3.9053)
= $49.66

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.5690 + -0.0004 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0185)
= Exp(3.8313)
= $46.12

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 13.09% per annum.
  • GIS price at the close of November 6, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.14 (0.31%).