Stock Price Trends

Campbell’s Co (CPB)

Campbell Soup Company (CPB) is a leading American manufacturer of processed foods and snacks, renowned for its diverse portfolio that includes iconic brands such as Campbell’s soups, Pepperidge Farm products, and V8 beverages. With a focus on innovation and quality, Campbell's emphasizes sustainable practices while responding to evolving consumer preferences for healthier and convenient meal solutions. The company operates globally, leveraging its strong distribution network and brand recognition to capture market share in the rapidly changing food industry. By aligning its strategic initiatives with key consumer trends, Campbell Soup Company is well-positioned for continued growth and profitability.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 31.34% per annum.
  • CPB price at the close of December 30, 2025 was $28.06 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 15.74% per annum.
  • CPB price at the close of December 30, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CPB price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: July 29, 2024
End date: December 30, 2025

a = 5.2091

b = -0.0010

s = 0.0445

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0010) – 1
= -31.34%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0445) – 1
= 19.46%

July 29, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y897)
= Exp(a + b × X897 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,306 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2091 + -0.0010 × 1,306 + 2 × 0.0445)
= Exp(3.9525)
= $52.07

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y897)
= Exp(a + b × X897 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,306 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2091 + -0.0010 × 1,306 – 2 × 0.0445)
= Exp(3.7747)
= $43.58

December 30, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2091 + -0.0010 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0445)
= Exp(3.4178)
= $30.50

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2091 + -0.0010 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0445)
= Exp(3.2400)
= $25.53

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 31.34% per annum.
  • CPB price at the close of December 30, 2025 was $28.06 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: May 21, 2025
End date: December 30, 2025

a = 4.2444

b = -0.0005

s = 0.0356

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0005) – 1
= -15.74%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0356) – 1
= 15.31%

May 21, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,101)
= Exp(a + b × X1,101 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,602 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2444 + -0.0005 × 1,602 + 2 × 0.0356)
= Exp(3.5641)
= $35.31

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,101)
= Exp(a + b × X1,101 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,602 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2444 + -0.0005 × 1,602 – 2 × 0.0356)
= Exp(3.4216)
= $30.62

December 30, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2444 + -0.0005 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0356)
= Exp(3.4595)
= $31.80

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2444 + -0.0005 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0356)
= Exp(3.3170)
= $27.58

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 15.74% per annum.
  • CPB price at the close of December 30, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.