Mondelez International Inc (MDLZ)
Mondelez International, Inc. is a leading American multinational company specializing in snacks, confectionery, and beverages, headquartered in Chicago, Illinois. With a diverse portfolio of well-known brands such as Oreo, Cadbury, and Trident, Mondelez operates in over 150 countries, focusing on innovation and sustainability to drive growth in the snack food industry. The company capitalizes on trends in consumer preferences by offering a blend of indulgent and healthier options, strengthening its position as a global leader in the market while delivering solid financial performance and shareholder value.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 5.35% per annum.
- MDLZ price at the close of February 13, 2026 was $62.59 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 136.28% per annum.
- MDLZ price at the close of February 13, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of MDLZ price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: April 4, 2023
End date: February 13, 2026
a = 4.3564
b = -0.0002
s = 0.0572
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0002) – 1
= -5.35%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0572) – 1
= 25.70%
April 4, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y537)
= Exp(a + b × X537 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 777 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3564 + -0.0002 × 777 + 2 × 0.0572)
= Exp(4.3537)
= $77.77
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y537)
= Exp(a + b × X537 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 777 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3564 + -0.0002 × 777 – 2 × 0.0572)
= Exp(4.1250)
= $61.87
February 13, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3564 + -0.0002 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0572)
= Exp(4.1962)
= $66.43
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3564 + -0.0002 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0572)
= Exp(3.9674)
= $52.85
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 5.35% per annum.
- MDLZ price at the close of February 13, 2026 was $62.59 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: December 10, 2025
End date: February 13, 2026
a = -0.1887
b = 0.0024
s = 0.0209
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0024) – 1
= 136.28%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0209) – 1
= 8.70%
December 10, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,211)
= Exp(a + b × X1,211 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,758 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.1887 + 0.0024 × 1,758 + 2 × 0.0209)
= Exp(3.9944)
= $54.30
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,211)
= Exp(a + b × X1,211 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,758 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.1887 + 0.0024 × 1,758 – 2 × 0.0209)
= Exp(3.9110)
= $49.95
February 13, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.1887 + 0.0024 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0209)
= Exp(4.1476)
= $63.28
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.1887 + 0.0024 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0209)
= Exp(4.0641)
= $58.22
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 136.28% per annum.
- MDLZ price at the close of February 13, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.