Pilgrims Pride Corp (PPC)
Pilgrim's Pride Corporation (PPC) is a leading producer and marketer of fresh, frozen, and value-added chicken and pork products, catering to a diverse customer base that includes retailers, distributors, and food service operators across the United States and internationally. Headquartered in Greeley, Colorado, the company operates significant production facilities and distribution networks in the UK, Mexico, and various regions throughout Europe, the Middle East, and Asia. Pilgrim's Pride is committed to providing high-quality protein products while adhering to rigorous food safety and sustainability standards, positioning itself as a key player in the global poultry and pork markets.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 66.44% per annum.
- PPC price at the close of November 6, 2025 was $36.61 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 24.21% per annum.
- PPC price at the close of November 6, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of PPC price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: August 4, 2025
End date: November 6, 2025
a = 9.0442
b = -0.0030
s = 0.0199
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0030) – 1
= -66.44%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0199) – 1
= 8.28%
August 4, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,187)
= Exp(a + b × X1,187 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,729 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.0442 + -0.0030 × 1,729 + 2 × 0.0199)
= Exp(3.9120)
= $50.00
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,187)
= Exp(a + b × X1,187 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,729 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.0442 + -0.0030 × 1,729 – 2 × 0.0199)
= Exp(3.8324)
= $46.17
November 6, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.0442 + -0.0030 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0199)
= Exp(3.6308)
= $37.74
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.0442 + -0.0030 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0199)
= Exp(3.5512)
= $34.86
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 66.44% per annum.
- PPC price at the close of November 6, 2025 was $36.61 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: October 6, 2025
End date: November 6, 2025
a = 5.0056
b = -0.0008
s = 0.0114
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0008) – 1
= -24.21%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0114) – 1
= 4.68%
October 6, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,231)
= Exp(a + b × X1,231 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,792 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0056 + -0.0008 × 1,792 + 2 × 0.0114)
= Exp(3.6674)
= $39.15
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,231)
= Exp(a + b × X1,231 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,792 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0056 + -0.0008 × 1,792 – 2 × 0.0114)
= Exp(3.6217)
= $37.40
November 6, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0056 + -0.0008 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0114)
= Exp(3.6439)
= $38.24
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0056 + -0.0008 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0114)
= Exp(3.5981)
= $36.53
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 24.21% per annum.
- PPC price at the close of November 6, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.