Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL)
Hormel Foods Corporation (Ticker: HRL) is a leading American food company with a rich history dating back to 1891, headquartered in Austin, Minnesota. Initially established as a meatpacking company, Hormel has since diversified its product line to include a broad spectrum of refrigerated and packaged food items, catering to evolving consumer preferences. The company is renowned for its iconic brands such as Spam, Jennie-O, and Hormel Chili, which collectively underscore its commitment to quality and innovation in the food industry. As Hormel continues to adapt to market trends, its strategic focus on acquisitions and product development positions it well for sustained growth in the competitive food sector.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
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Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 52.88% per annum.
- HRL price at the close of December 16, 2025 was $23.66 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.27 (5.68%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 162.01% per annum.
- HRL price at the close of December 16, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.02 (0.09%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of HRL price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date:
End date:
a =
b =
s =
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × ) – 1
=
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × ) – 1
=
May 27, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
November 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 52.88% per annum.
- HRL price at the close of December 16, 2025 was $23.66 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.27 (5.68%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date:
End date:
a =
b =
s =
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × ) – 1
=
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × ) – 1
=
October 29, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
December 15, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 162.01% per annum.
- HRL price at the close of December 16, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.02 (0.09%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.