Kraft Heinz Co (KHC)
The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) is a leading American food and beverage conglomerate, formed through the strategic merger of Kraft Foods and Heinz. Headquartered in both Chicago, Illinois, and Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, the company boasts a diverse portfolio of iconic brands, including Kraft, Heinz, Oscar Mayer, and Philadelphia, among others. With a strong focus on innovation and sustainability, Kraft Heinz is committed to delivering high-quality products while advancing efficiency across its global supply chain. The company is well-positioned to leverage trends in consumer preferences, aiming to drive growth in a competitive food industry landscape.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 15.75% per annum.
- KHC price at the close of March 12, 2026 was $22.33 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 18.84% per annum.
- KHC price at the close of March 12, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of KHC price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: December 11, 2023
End date: March 12, 2026
a = 4.0039
b = -0.0005
s = 0.0414
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0005) – 1
= -15.75%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0414) – 1
= 17.99%
December 11, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y691)
= Exp(a + b × X691 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,001 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0039 + -0.0005 × 1,001 + 2 × 0.0414)
= Exp(3.6166)
= $37.21
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y691)
= Exp(a + b × X691 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,001 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0039 + -0.0005 × 1,001 – 2 × 0.0414)
= Exp(3.4512)
= $31.54
March 12, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0039 + -0.0005 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0414)
= Exp(3.2307)
= $25.30
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0039 + -0.0005 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0414)
= Exp(3.0652)
= $21.44
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 15.75% per annum.
- KHC price at the close of March 12, 2026 was $22.33 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: July 31, 2024
End date: March 12, 2026
a = 4.1673
b = -0.0006
s = 0.0374
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0006) – 1
= -18.84%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0374) – 1
= 16.16%
July 31, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y850)
= Exp(a + b × X850 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,234 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1673 + -0.0006 × 1,234 + 2 × 0.0374)
= Exp(3.5366)
= $34.35
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y850)
= Exp(a + b × X850 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,234 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1673 + -0.0006 × 1,234 – 2 × 0.0374)
= Exp(3.3868)
= $29.57
March 12, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1673 + -0.0006 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0374)
= Exp(3.1998)
= $24.53
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1673 + -0.0006 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0374)
= Exp(3.0500)
= $21.12
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 18.84% per annum.
- KHC price at the close of March 12, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.