Stock Price Trends

Kadant Inc (KAI)

Kadant Inc. (KAI), headquartered in Westford, Massachusetts, is a leading provider of essential components and engineered systems that cater to various industries, including paper, wood processing, and wastewater treatment. By leveraging advanced technology and engineering expertise, Kadant enhances operational efficiency and sustainability for its global clientele. The company's innovative solutions drive productivity improvements and energy efficiency, positioning it as a critical partner in the industrial sector. With a strong commitment to research and development, Kadant remains at the forefront of technological advancements, ensuring long-term growth and value creation for its stakeholders.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 25.71% per annum.
  • KAI price at the close of December 5, 2025 was $288.03 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 52.44% per annum.
  • KAI price at the close of December 5, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $2.14 (0.75%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of KAI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: November 5, 2024
End date: December 5, 2025

a = 7.1229

b = -0.0008

s = 0.0629

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0008) – 1
= -25.71%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0629) – 1
= 28.62%

November 5, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y984)
= Exp(a + b × X984 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,429 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.1229 + -0.0008 × 1,429 + 2 × 0.0629)
= Exp(6.0854)
= $439.39

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y984)
= Exp(a + b × X984 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,429 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.1229 + -0.0008 × 1,429 – 2 × 0.0629)
= Exp(5.8337)
= $341.63

December 5, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.1229 + -0.0008 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0629)
= Exp(5.7638)
= $318.56

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.1229 + -0.0008 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0629)
= Exp(5.5121)
= $247.68

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 25.71% per annum.
  • KAI price at the close of December 5, 2025 was $288.03 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: July 23, 2025
End date: December 5, 2025

a = 9.2895

b = -0.0020

s = 0.0400

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0020) – 1
= -52.44%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0400) – 1
= 17.35%

July 23, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,160)
= Exp(a + b × X1,160 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,689 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.2895 + -0.0020 × 1,689 + 2 × 0.0400)
= Exp(5.9305)
= $376.34

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,160)
= Exp(a + b × X1,160 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,689 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.2895 + -0.0020 × 1,689 – 2 × 0.0400)
= Exp(5.7705)
= $320.69

December 5, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.2895 + -0.0020 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0400)
= Exp(5.6556)
= $285.89

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.2895 + -0.0020 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0400)
= Exp(5.4956)
= $243.61

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 52.44% per annum.
  • KAI price at the close of December 5, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $2.14 (0.75%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.