Stock Price Trends

Otis Worldwide Corp (OTIS)

Otis Worldwide Corporation is a leading global provider of vertical transportation solutions, specializing in the design, manufacture, installation, and maintenance of elevators, escalators, and moving walkways. Headquartered in Farmington, Connecticut, the company benefits from a strong legacy of innovation and engineering excellence, with a commitment to enhancing the efficiency, safety, and accessibility of urban mobility. With a robust presence across numerous countries, Otis leverages its advanced technologies and data-driven solutions to meet the evolving needs of its diverse clientele, positioning itself as a key player in the growing smart building and infrastructure markets.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 9.10% per annum.
  • OTIS price at the close of March 6, 2026 was $89.22 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 6.16% per annum.
  • OTIS price at the close of March 6, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of OTIS price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: September 24, 2024
End date: February 13, 2026

a = 4.9372

b = -0.0003

s = 0.0364

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0003) – 1
= -9.10%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0364) – 1
= 15.69%

September 24, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y892)
= Exp(a + b × X892 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,295 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9372 + -0.0003 × 1,295 + 2 × 0.0364)
= Exp(4.6714)
= $106.85

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y892)
= Exp(a + b × X892 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,295 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9372 + -0.0003 × 1,295 – 2 × 0.0364)
= Exp(4.5256)
= $92.35

February 13, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,240)
= Exp(a + b × X1,240 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,802 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9372 + -0.0003 × 1,802 + 2 × 0.0364)
= Exp(4.5388)
= $93.58

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,240)
= Exp(a + b × X1,240 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,802 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9372 + -0.0003 × 1,802 – 2 × 0.0364)
= Exp(4.3930)
= $80.89

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 9.10% per annum.
  • OTIS price at the close of March 6, 2026 was $89.22 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: July 23, 2025
End date: March 6, 2026

a = 4.2033

b = 0.0002

s = 0.0208

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0002) – 1
= 6.16%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0208) – 1
= 8.66%

July 23, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,098)
= Exp(a + b × X1,098 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,597 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2033 + 0.0002 × 1,597 + 2 × 0.0208)
= Exp(4.5064)
= $90.60

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,098)
= Exp(a + b × X1,098 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,597 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2033 + 0.0002 × 1,597 – 2 × 0.0208)
= Exp(4.4234)
= $83.38

March 6, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2033 + 0.0002 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0208)
= Exp(4.5434)
= $94.01

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2033 + 0.0002 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0208)
= Exp(4.4604)
= $86.52

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 6.16% per annum.
  • OTIS price at the close of March 6, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.