Graco Inc (GGG)
Graco Inc. (GGG) is a leading global manufacturer specializing in systems and equipment for the precise movement, measurement, control, dispensing, and spraying of fluids and powders. With its headquarters in Minneapolis, Minnesota, Graco serves a diverse range of markets, including industrial, construction, and automotive, leveraging innovative technologies to enhance productivity and efficiency. The company is committed to delivering high-quality products and solutions that meet stringent regulatory standards, positioning itself as a trusted partner for customers seeking reliable fluid management systems. As a key player in the fluid handling industry, Graco's robust portfolio and global footprint enable it to capitalize on growth opportunities across various sectors.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 0.34% per annum.
- GGG price at the close of December 31, 2025 was $81.97 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 10.75% per annum.
- GGG price at the close of December 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of GGG price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: December 12, 2023
End date: December 31, 2025
a = 4.4377
b = 0.0000
s = 0.0403
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0000) – 1
= -0.34%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0403) – 1
= 17.50%
December 12, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y740)
= Exp(a + b × X740 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,072 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4377 + 0.0000 × 1,072 + 2 × 0.0403)
= Exp(4.5083)
= $90.77
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y740)
= Exp(a + b × X740 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,072 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4377 + 0.0000 × 1,072 – 2 × 0.0403)
= Exp(4.3470)
= $77.25
December 31, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4377 + 0.0000 × 1,822 + 2 × 0.0403)
= Exp(4.5013)
= $90.13
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4377 + 0.0000 × 1,822 – 2 × 0.0403)
= Exp(4.3400)
= $76.71
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 0.34% per annum.
- GGG price at the close of December 31, 2025 was $81.97 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: June 26, 2025
End date: December 31, 2025
a = 4.9660
b = -0.0003
s = 0.0175
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0003) – 1
= -10.75%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0175) – 1
= 7.26%
June 26, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,124)
= Exp(a + b × X1,124 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,634 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9660 + -0.0003 × 1,634 + 2 × 0.0175)
= Exp(4.4920)
= $89.30
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,124)
= Exp(a + b × X1,124 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,634 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9660 + -0.0003 × 1,634 – 2 × 0.0175)
= Exp(4.4220)
= $83.26
December 31, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9660 + -0.0003 × 1,822 + 2 × 0.0175)
= Exp(4.4334)
= $84.22
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9660 + -0.0003 × 1,822 – 2 × 0.0175)
= Exp(4.3634)
= $78.52
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 10.75% per annum.
- GGG price at the close of December 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.