Valmont Industries Inc (VMI)
Valmont Industries, Inc. is a leading global provider of engineered products and services, specializing in the manufacturing of metal products across diverse sectors including agriculture, infrastructure, and utility markets. Headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska, the company operates multiple production facilities in the U.S., Australia, Denmark, and other international locations, enabling it to cater to a broad customer base. Valmont is recognized for its commitment to innovation and sustainability, leveraging advanced technologies to enhance the durability and efficiency of its offerings. With a strong focus on growth and expansion, Valmont continues to strengthen its position in key markets through strategic investments and partnerships.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 38.70% per annum.
- VMI price at the close of February 13, 2026 was $475.33 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 71.72% per annum.
- VMI price at the close of February 13, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of VMI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: October 26, 2023
End date: February 13, 2026
a = 4.4424
b = 0.0009
s = 0.0734
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0009) – 1
= 38.70%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0734) – 1
= 34.12%
October 26, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y679)
= Exp(a + b × X679 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 982 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4424 + 0.0009 × 982 + 2 × 0.0734)
= Exp(5.4694)
= $237.31
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y679)
= Exp(a + b × X679 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 982 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4424 + 0.0009 × 982 – 2 × 0.0734)
= Exp(5.1758)
= $176.94
February 13, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4424 + 0.0009 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0734)
= Exp(6.2231)
= $504.28
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4424 + 0.0009 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0734)
= Exp(5.9295)
= $375.98
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 38.70% per annum.
- VMI price at the close of February 13, 2026 was $475.33 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: March 21, 2025
End date: February 13, 2026
a = 3.4401
b = 0.0015
s = 0.0351
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0015) – 1
= 71.72%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0351) – 1
= 15.07%
March 21, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,029)
= Exp(a + b × X1,029 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,494 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4401 + 0.0015 × 1,494 + 2 × 0.0351)
= Exp(5.7235)
= $305.97
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,029)
= Exp(a + b × X1,029 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,494 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4401 + 0.0015 × 1,494 – 2 × 0.0351)
= Exp(5.5831)
= $265.89
February 13, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4401 + 0.0015 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0351)
= Exp(6.2109)
= $498.14
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4401 + 0.0015 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0351)
= Exp(6.0705)
= $432.89
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 71.72% per annum.
- VMI price at the close of February 13, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.