Xylem Inc (XYL)
Xylem Inc. is a large American water technology provider, in public utility, residential, commercial, agricultural and industrial settings.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 16.43% per annum.
- XYL price at the close of July 3, 2025 was $132.28 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $9.48 (7.72%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 439.73% per annum.
- XYL price at the close of July 3, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $19.66 (12.94%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of XYL price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: April 26, 2024
End date: May 7, 2025
a = 5.6216
b = -0.0005
s = 0.0426
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0005) – 1
= -16.43%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0426) – 1
= 18.59%
April 26, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y959)
= Exp(a + b × X959 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,390 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6216 + -0.0005 × 1,390 + 2 × 0.0426)
= Exp(5.0235)
= $151.94
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y959)
= Exp(a + b × X959 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,390 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6216 + -0.0005 × 1,390 – 2 × 0.0426)
= Exp(4.8530)
= $128.12
May 7, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,216)
= Exp(a + b × X1,216 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,766 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6216 + -0.0005 × 1,766 + 2 × 0.0426)
= Exp(4.8386)
= $126.29
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,216)
= Exp(a + b × X1,216 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,766 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6216 + -0.0005 × 1,766 – 2 × 0.0426)
= Exp(4.6681)
= $106.50
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 16.43% per annum.
- XYL price at the close of July 3, 2025 was $132.28 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $9.48 (7.72%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: May 20, 2025
a = -3.3551
b = 0.0046
s = 0.0208
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0046) – 1
= 439.73%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0208) – 1
= 8.68%
April 3, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,193)
= Exp(a + b × X1,193 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,732 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.3551 + 0.0046 × 1,732 + 2 × 0.0208)
= Exp(4.6864)
= $108.47
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,193)
= Exp(a + b × X1,193 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,732 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.3551 + 0.0046 × 1,732 – 2 × 0.0208)
= Exp(4.6032)
= $99.80
May 20, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,225)
= Exp(a + b × X1,225 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,779 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.3551 + 0.0046 × 1,779 + 2 × 0.0208)
= Exp(4.9035)
= $134.76
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,225)
= Exp(a + b × X1,225 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,779 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.3551 + 0.0046 × 1,779 – 2 × 0.0208)
= Exp(4.8203)
= $124.00
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 439.73% per annum.
- XYL price at the close of July 3, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $19.66 (12.94%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.