Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH)
Parker-Hannifin Corporation, originally Parker Appliance Company, usually referred to as just Parker, is an American corporation specializing in motion and control technologies. Its corporate headquarters are in Mayfield Heights, Ohio, in Greater Cleveland.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 50.77% per annum.
- PH price at the close of October 3, 2024 was $626.31 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 20.49% per annum.
- PH price at the close of October 3, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of PH price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: June 10, 2022
End date: October 3, 2024
a = 4.3692
b = 0.0011
s = 0.0617
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0011) – 1
= 50.77%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0617) – 1
= 28.00%
June 10, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y676)
= Exp(a + b × X676 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 980 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3692 + 0.0011 × 980 + 2 × 0.0617)
= Exp(5.5950)
= $269.08
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y676)
= Exp(a + b × X676 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 980 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3692 + 0.0011 × 980 – 2 × 0.0617)
= Exp(5.3482)
= $210.22
October 3, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3692 + 0.0011 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0617)
= Exp(6.5466)
= $696.89
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3692 + 0.0011 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0617)
= Exp(6.2998)
= $544.45
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 50.77% per annum.
- PH price at the close of October 3, 2024 was $626.31 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: February 1, 2024
End date: October 3, 2024
a = 5.4320
b = 0.0005
s = 0.0467
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0005) – 1
= 20.49%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0467) – 1
= 20.53%
February 1, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,088)
= Exp(a + b × X1,088 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,581 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.4320 + 0.0005 × 1,581 + 2 × 0.0467)
= Exp(6.3328)
= $562.72
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,088)
= Exp(a + b × X1,088 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,581 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.4320 + 0.0005 × 1,581 – 2 × 0.0467)
= Exp(6.1461)
= $466.88
October 3, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.4320 + 0.0005 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0467)
= Exp(6.4579)
= $637.72
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.4320 + 0.0005 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0467)
= Exp(6.2712)
= $529.11
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 20.49% per annum.
- PH price at the close of October 3, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.