Mueller Water Products (MWA)
Mueller Water Products, Inc. (MWA) is a leading manufacturer and marketer of essential products and services for water transmission, distribution, and metering, catering to both municipal and industrial customers. Headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, the company plays a critical role in enhancing water infrastructure across North America and internationally, delivering innovative solutions that promote efficient water management. By leveraging advanced technologies and a robust portfolio, Mueller Water Products is well-positioned to meet the growing demand for sustainable water solutions amid increasing regulatory requirements and environmental challenges.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 38.32% per annum.
- MWA price at the close of March 2, 2026 was $29.69 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 3.92% per annum.
- MWA price at the close of March 2, 2026 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $1.55 (5.50%).
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of MWA price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: August 22, 2022
End date: November 5, 2025
a = 1.8268
b = 0.0009
s = 0.0951
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0009) – 1
= 38.32%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0951) – 1
= 46.27%
August 22, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y371)
= Exp(a + b × X371 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 537 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8268 + 0.0009 × 537 + 2 × 0.0951)
= Exp(2.4942)
= $12.11
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y371)
= Exp(a + b × X371 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 537 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8268 + 0.0009 × 537 – 2 × 0.0951)
= Exp(2.1139)
= $8.28
November 5, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,176)
= Exp(a + b × X1,176 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,708 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8268 + 0.0009 × 1,708 + 2 × 0.0951)
= Exp(3.5348)
= $34.29
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,176)
= Exp(a + b × X1,176 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,708 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8268 + 0.0009 × 1,708 – 2 × 0.0951)
= Exp(3.1545)
= $23.44
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 38.32% per annum.
- MWA price at the close of March 2, 2026 was $29.69 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 5, 2024
End date: January 30, 2026
a = 3.0441
b = 0.0001
s = 0.0504
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0001) – 1
= 3.92%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0504) – 1
= 22.35%
November 5, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y926)
= Exp(a + b × X926 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,343 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0441 + 0.0001 × 1,343 + 2 × 0.0504)
= Exp(3.2865)
= $26.75
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y926)
= Exp(a + b × X926 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,343 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0441 + 0.0001 × 1,343 – 2 × 0.0504)
= Exp(3.0848)
= $21.86
January 30, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,234)
= Exp(a + b × X1,234 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,794 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0441 + 0.0001 × 1,794 + 2 × 0.0504)
= Exp(3.3340)
= $28.05
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,234)
= Exp(a + b × X1,234 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,794 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0441 + 0.0001 × 1,794 – 2 × 0.0504)
= Exp(3.1323)
= $22.93
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 3.92% per annum.
- MWA price at the close of March 2, 2026 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $1.55 (5.50%).