Stock Price Trends

Hubbell Inc (HUBB)

Hubbell Incorporated designs, manufactures, and sells electrical and electronic products in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Shelton, Connecticut.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 3.86% per annum.
  • HUBB price at the close of October 1, 2025 was $430.47 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 79.44% per annum.
  • HUBB price at the close of October 1, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of HUBB price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: February 22, 2024
End date: October 1, 2025

a = 5.8225

b = 0.0001

s = 0.0859

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0001) – 1
= 3.86%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0859) – 1
= 41.03%

February 22, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y851)
= Exp(a + b × X851 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,238 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.8225 + 0.0001 × 1,238 + 2 × 0.0859)
= Exp(6.1228)
= $456.13

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y851)
= Exp(a + b × X851 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,238 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.8225 + 0.0001 × 1,238 – 2 × 0.0859)
= Exp(5.7790)
= $323.43

October 1, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.8225 + 0.0001 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0859)
= Exp(6.1837)
= $484.76

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.8225 + 0.0001 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0859)
= Exp(5.8399)
= $343.73

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 3.86% per annum.
  • HUBB price at the close of October 1, 2025 was $430.47 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: March 10, 2025
End date: October 1, 2025

a = 3.2099

b = 0.0016

s = 0.0356

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0016) – 1
= 79.44%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0356) – 1
= 15.28%

March 10, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,112)
= Exp(a + b × X1,112 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,620 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2099 + 0.0016 × 1,620 + 2 × 0.0356)
= Exp(5.8760)
= $356.39

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,112)
= Exp(a + b × X1,112 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,620 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2099 + 0.0016 × 1,620 – 2 × 0.0356)
= Exp(5.7338)
= $309.15

October 1, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2099 + 0.0016 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0356)
= Exp(6.2044)
= $494.94

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2099 + 0.0016 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0356)
= Exp(6.0622)
= $429.33

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 79.44% per annum.
  • HUBB price at the close of October 1, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.