Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. (CON)
None
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 405.91% per annum.
- CON price at the close of September 12, 2025 was $22.15 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $1.21 (5.18%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 89.71% per annum.
- CON price at the close of September 12, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CON price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: July 11, 2025
End date: September 4, 2025
a = 1.3800
b = 0.0044
s = 0.0339
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0044) – 1
= 405.91%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0339) – 1
= 14.52%
July 11, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y240)
= Exp(a + b × X240 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 351 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3800 + 0.0044 × 351 + 2 × 0.0339)
= Exp(3.0068)
= $20.22
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y240)
= Exp(a + b × X240 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 351 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3800 + 0.0044 × 351 – 2 × 0.0339)
= Exp(2.8713)
= $17.66
September 4, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y278)
= Exp(a + b × X278 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 406 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3800 + 0.0044 × 406 + 2 × 0.0339)
= Exp(3.2511)
= $25.82
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y278)
= Exp(a + b × X278 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 406 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3800 + 0.0044 × 406 – 2 × 0.0339)
= Exp(3.1155)
= $22.55
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 405.91% per annum.
- CON price at the close of September 12, 2025 was $22.15 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $1.21 (5.18%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: August 28, 2025
End date: September 12, 2025
a = 5.6708
b = -0.0062
s = 0.0159
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0062) – 1
= -89.71%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0159) – 1
= 6.58%
August 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y274)
= Exp(a + b × X274 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 399 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6708 + -0.0062 × 399 + 2 × 0.0159)
= Exp(3.2168)
= $24.95
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y274)
= Exp(a + b × X274 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 399 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6708 + -0.0062 × 399 – 2 × 0.0159)
= Exp(3.1531)
= $23.41
September 12, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y284)
= Exp(a + b × X284 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 414 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6708 + -0.0062 × 414 + 2 × 0.0159)
= Exp(3.1233)
= $22.72
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y284)
= Exp(a + b × X284 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 414 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6708 + -0.0062 × 414 – 2 × 0.0159)
= Exp(3.0596)
= $21.32
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 89.71% per annum.
- CON price at the close of September 12, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.