Stock Price Trends

Sotera Health Co (SHC)

Sotera Health Company is a leading provider of sterilization, laboratory testing, and advisory services tailored for the medical device, pharmaceutical, and food industries, serving clients across the Americas, Europe, and Asia. Headquartered in Broadview Heights, Ohio, Sotera leverages advanced technology and innovative processes to ensure safety and compliance in critical health-related sectors. With a commitment to quality and regulatory excellence, the company plays a vital role in enhancing product safety and efficacy for its global clientele.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 122.44% per annum.
  • SHC price at the close of October 31, 2025 was $16.60 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 14.20% per annum.
  • SHC price at the close of October 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of SHC price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: March 31, 2025
End date: October 31, 2025

a = -1.1416

b = 0.0022

s = 0.0932

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0022) – 1
= 122.44%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0932) – 1
= 45.18%

March 31, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,092)
= Exp(a + b × X1,092 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,592 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.1416 + 0.0022 × 1,592 + 2 × 0.0932)
= Exp(2.5319)
= $12.58

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,092)
= Exp(a + b × X1,092 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,592 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.1416 + 0.0022 × 1,592 – 2 × 0.0932)
= Exp(2.1591)
= $8.66

October 31, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,241)
= Exp(a + b × X1,241 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,806 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.1416 + 0.0022 × 1,806 + 2 × 0.0932)
= Exp(3.0006)
= $20.10

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,241)
= Exp(a + b × X1,241 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,806 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.1416 + 0.0022 × 1,806 – 2 × 0.0932)
= Exp(2.6278)
= $13.84

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 122.44% per annum.
  • SHC price at the close of October 31, 2025 was $16.60 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: August 13, 2025
End date: October 31, 2025

a = 2.1360

b = 0.0004

s = 0.0212

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0004) – 1
= 14.20%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0212) – 1
= 8.86%

August 13, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,185)
= Exp(a + b × X1,185 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,727 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1360 + 0.0004 × 1,727 + 2 × 0.0212)
= Exp(2.8068)
= $16.56

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,185)
= Exp(a + b × X1,185 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,727 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1360 + 0.0004 × 1,727 – 2 × 0.0212)
= Exp(2.7219)
= $15.21

October 31, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,241)
= Exp(a + b × X1,241 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,806 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1360 + 0.0004 × 1,806 + 2 × 0.0212)
= Exp(2.8356)
= $17.04

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,241)
= Exp(a + b × X1,241 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,806 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1360 + 0.0004 × 1,806 – 2 × 0.0212)
= Exp(2.7507)
= $15.65

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 14.20% per annum.
  • SHC price at the close of October 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.